Best MLB Picks and Parlay 06-19-23

Following on from our best bet picks, we have also put together a MLB Parlay consisting of three picks that offer a compelling +756 payout at Sportsbook. Before we dive into the details, make sure to check out our MLB predictions for all the games happening today.

Experts MLB Picks and Parlay

Summary: Tigers Money Line, Red Sox vs Twins Alternate Run Line Under 7.5, Diamondbacks vs Brewers Alternate Totals Under 6.5 Bet.

Now, let’s take a closer look at each of our MLB Parlay Picks analysis for Monday night baseball.

#1 MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers ML (-146) over Kansas City Royals

This pick is quite straightforward. The Kansas City Royals have yet to win a game when Jordan Lyles takes the mound. Lyles has struggled this season, sporting a 6.89 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 79.2 innings. Moreover, the Royals have lost every game with Lyles as the starter. He has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers in baseball, and things get even worse for him on the road, where his ERA climbs to 9.10 and WHIP balloons to 1.53. Facing the Detroit Tigers today, Lyles is far from an ideal option for the Royals. While the Tigers may not have the most potent offense, they are more than capable of scoring against a struggling pitcher like Lyles.

#2 MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Alternate Under 7.5 (+100)

This matchup features one of the best pitching duels of the day. James Paxton will take the mound for the Red Sox, while Pablo Lopez toes the rubber for the Twins. This combination immediately signals a low-scoring affair. Paxton, in his first full season since 2019, has been impressive with a 3.07 ERA, a 3.34 xERA, and a remarkable 33.1% strikeout rate. His control has been solid, limiting extra-base hits, and his expected batting average (xBA) sits at an impressive .211. In six starts, Paxton has allowed two or fewer earned runs in five of them. He has been particularly dominant in June, giving up just two earned runs and 10 hits while recording 17 strikeouts in 13 innings. The Big Maple is back.

The Twins boast one of the most dangerous rotations in the league, with pitchers like Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, and Pablo Lopez. Lopez will take the mound tonight, and although his ERA is above 4, his advanced metrics tell a different story. With a .213 xBA and a career-high 29.2% strikeout rate, Lopez has had an excellent season and is due for positive regression. Matched up against Paxton, this game is likely to be a low-scoring affair.

#3 MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Alternate Under 6.5 (+154)

In terms of pitching matchups, this game offers the best one of the day. Merrill Kelly of the Diamondbacks will go up against Corbin Burnes of the Brewers, and runs are expected to be extremely scarce. Kelly has been outstanding on the road this season, boasting a 5-0 record with a 2.12 ERA. He has limited opposing hitters to a .224 batting average and a .574 OPS away from Chase Field. Kelly will face a Brewers offense that hasn’t been the most reliable, especially against right-handed pitching.

Burnes started the season poorly but has turned things around in recent weeks. With a 3.44 ERA and a 3.34 xERA in 83.2 innings, he has returned to his dominant form. Burnes has gone six innings or more in eight of his last nine starts and has allowed more than three earned runs

only once during that span. The total for this series opener is already set quite low, but with two exceptional starters on the mound, there’s value in taking an alternate under.


That concludes our MLB parlay for Monday. These three picks offer an intriguing +756 payout. Enjoy the games and good luck with your wagers!

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