Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: Orioles to Keep Playoff Hopes Alive

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The Boston Red Sox are clinging to their postseason aspirations, but their schedule doesn’t offer much assistance. After dropping a series to the Rays, they face a challenging stretch against the Orioles, Yankees, Blue Jays, and Rangers. To maintain their playoff dreams, the Red Sox must secure victories in this series. However, that’s easier said than done, as the Orioles appear to hold the upper hand in various aspects of the game. With both teams enjoying a day off on Thursday, any rest advantage is nullified.

MLB Key Matchup: Tanner Houck vs. Orioles Bats

Boston kicks off the series with Tanner Houck on the mound, a pitcher known for his impressive slider. However, Houck has struggled at Fenway Park, where the generous hitting conditions have led to an ERA increase of 5.40 and a .765 OPS allowed at home this season. In addition, his slider, while effective against most teams, might not fare as well against the Orioles, who rank 8th in the league against sliders since the All-Star break. The Orioles have already tagged Houck for 7 runs, 12 hits, and 2 home runs in 10 innings this season, boasting a .308 average and .802 OPS against him. Houck’s performance has waned since suffering a facial fracture in June, allowing 8 runs, 16 hits, and 6 walks in 14 innings since returning to the rotation. Furthermore, he tends to struggle in the second time through the order.

MLB Pick_Kyle Bradish’s Excellence: Orioles Pitching

The Orioles counter with Kyle Bradish, who has quietly emerged as a star for Baltimore this season. Since the All-Star break, Bradish has recorded a 5-2 record with a 2.59 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP, limiting hitters to a paltry .199 batting average. Bradish’s primary weapon, his slider, ranks in the 100th percentile among breaking ball pitch rankings. Notably, the Red Sox have struggled against sliders in the second half of the season, ranking 10th-worst in the league. Bradish has consistently held opponents to 2 runs or fewer in 12 of his last 14 starts, providing ample support for the Orioles’ bullpen, which ranks 4th in ERA and 3rd in FIP in the last two weeks.

Outcome Prediction: Orioles ML (-125)

Don’t Miss These MLB Prop Bets for 09/08: Zac Gallen’s Strong Outing

Following a modest Thursday slate and with the NFL taking center stage, the MLB returns with all 30 teams in action, commencing with the Diamondbacks-Cubs matchup at 2:20 ET. One standout player prop bet features All-Star pitcher Zac Gallen, who will take the mound at Wrigley Field. The wind blowing in at over 10 MPH could significantly impact this bet. Additionally, we’ll delve into our MLB player prop bet, which hinges on his ability to issue walks, along with a sneak peek at today’s YRFI/NRFI best bets.

MLB Pick: Zac Gallen (ARI) Over 16.5 Outs (-130)

Zac Gallen finds himself with a rare 16.5 outs line, a testament to his recent struggles. Although his last two starts have diminished his NL Cy Young Award chances, the Diamondbacks currently hold the final Wild Card spot, making a quality outing from Gallen crucial for both the team and his confidence heading into the regular season’s final stretch. Wrigley Field’s daytime conditions, coupled with the wind blowing in at over 10 MPH, provide an ideal backdrop for Gallen to regain his form.

While the Cubs occupy the second Wild Card spot, they may struggle against right-handed pitchers like Gallen. Notably, hitters such as Cody Bellinger, Ian Happ, and Dansby Swanson have fared poorly against Gallen in the past, combining for just 3 hits in 29 at-bats. With Gallen poised for a strong performance against the bottom of the Cubs’ order, a six-plus inning outing seems likely.

MLB Pick: Andrew Abbott (CIN) Over 1.5 Walks / STL Cardinals Over 1.5 Runs (-115)

The Cardinals face Andrew Abbott, who issued three walks but no runs in a previous encounter in June. With familiarity on their side, the Cardinals will aim to capitalize on Abbott’s propensity for walks, potentially cashing this player prop for the 11th time in 17 starts this season. Abbott boasts an impressive K rate, ranking in the 73rd percentile in baseball, but his chase rate falls below the league average. Crucially, his BB% places him in the bottom 36th percentile, indicating a propensity to issue walks.

In the past month, the Cardinals have excelled against left-handed pitchers, ranking in the top 10 in BB%. Moreover, seven of the last ten left-handed starters against the Cardinals have issued at least 2 walks. Abbott’s other prop bets suggest he may encounter difficulties, with an earned runs prop set at 2.5 with heavy juice on the over. With Abbott projected to pitch deep into the game, the Cardinals have ample opportunity to earn walks and cross home plate at least twice, a feat they’ve achieved in 5 of 6 games in September.

Please note that odds and availability may change, and it’s important to gamble responsibly. Note: All bets should be made responsibly. The opinions and predictions provided are based on available data and are intended to enhance your understanding and enjoyment of sports betting. The decision to place bets or refrain from betting is solely the responsibility of the bettor. If you experience issues with gambling, please seek assistance.

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