Best Bet MLB Tonight 05-08-23: CHI, COL & OAK

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If you’re tired of sitting through an entire baseball game only to lose your bet in the 9th inning, then it’s time to try the YRFI/NRFI market. With just 10 or 15 minutes reserved to watch the 1st inning, you can let the chips fall where they may and potentially come out on top. As we head into a new week, there are 11 games on the slate starting in Cleveland and ending in San Francisco. We’ve honed in on a few games with betting value, so let’s dive right in!

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MLB Best Bet Tonight 05-08-23

Best Bet MLB Money Line Pick: Chicago White Sox to Win (-135)

On Monday, the Chicago White Sox will travel to Kansas City to take on the Royals in the first game of a three-game series. Both teams are struggling and need to turn things around soon if they want to compete this season. The Royals won on Sunday, but they haven’t won a series since the first week of April, while the White Sox have won their last two series and scored an impressive 17 runs against the Reds on Sunday.

In terms of the pitching matchup, the White Sox have a clear advantage as they will be sending Dylan Cease to the mound. Although Cease has struggled in his last three starts, his stuff is top-notch, and he’s too good of a pitcher to struggle for long. On the other hand, Greinke, the Royals’ starting pitcher, is in the twilight of his career and has been struggling this season. Although he had a scoreless outing against Baltimore last week, he is expected to get knocked around a bit.

Despite some early line movement in favor of the Royals, the White Sox are still the better team in this matchup. They have a stronger offense and the advantage on the mound, which should be enough to secure the victory. Therefore, I recommend taking the White Sox Money Line at -135.

Your New Best Bet MLB Pick Strategy: YRFI/NRFI:

So if this is you, then check out our MLB speedy best bets for these games tonight.

Best Bet MLB – NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates(-125)

Our first game takes place in Pittsburgh, where the struggling Pirates face the surging Rockies. After a hot start to the season, Pittsburgh has lost 7 straight games and looks more like the team from 2022 rather than a team sitting atop the NL Central standings. Over their 7-game losing streak, the Pirates have only scored 9 runs, are batting .175 as a team, and rank 29th in both on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

While we don’t have a ton of faith in Rockies’ starter Kyle Freeland, he’s actually pitched quite well this season, and we only need a good 1st inning from him for this bet to cash. In 7 outings, he’s already had 4 quality starts and threw a 5-inning shutout against the Brewers last week. Meanwhile, Mitch Keller gives the Pirates the best chance at quieting the bats of Colorado. Keller is pitching to a 3.32 ERA and has a hard-hit rate that falls in the 95th percentile. Combine that with a 7.6% walk rate, and it creates all sorts of trouble for opposing lineups. Look for a scoreless 1st inning and possibly a lower-scoring game in general.

Best Bet MLB – NRFI : Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees (-128)

The Yankees lineup is still without Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, and it’s clear they could use them. Since Stanton was placed on the injured list with a hamstring strain on April 16, the Yankees have struggled to produce at the plate. Up until Stanton’s injury, the Yankees were averaging 4.8 runs per game through their first 15 games. Over the next 11 games, that number dropped to 3.67 runs per game and has now dipped all the way down to 3.11 over their last 9 games – the amount of time the Yankees have been without their two sluggers.

Tonight, the Yankees will face left-hander JP Sears, who could very well give New York some trouble despite his 5.06 ERA. The Yankees have been one of the worst lineups against lefties this season, batting only .218. Given Sears doesn’t give up many walks and has an above-average chase rate, he should be able to find some success against a shorthanded Yankees’ lineup. The Yankees also have Nestor Cortes on the mound, with a great bounce-back spot ahead of him. Cortes has been hit hard at times this season, and his ERA spiked to 4.91 after surrendering 7 earned runs in his last start against the Rangers.

However, all signs point to Cortes getting back on track, especially his 3.26 xERA. It’s also worth noting that many of the runs Cortes has given up this season have come in the latter half of the game. The 4 runs given up to the Rangers in the 1st inning of his last outing were the only 1st-inning runs he’s allowed this season and 11 of his 18 earned runs have come between innings 4 through 6. I foresee Cortes getting out to a great start against the worst team in baseball.

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