Best Bet NBA Player Prop 01/16/2024: Tonight Joel Embiid to Shine Against Nikola Jokic

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Continuing our successful streak with NBA player props, tonight’s focus is on the reigning NBA MVP, Joel Embiid, in a highly anticipated clash against former MVP Nikola Jokic as the Philadelphia 76ers face the Denver Nuggets. As we delve into my best NBA player prop bet for Tuesday, January 16, make sure to also check out our comprehensive NBA predictions for today’s games.

NBA Player Prop: Best Bet Joel Embiid, C, PHI, Over 32.5 Points (-120)

For those not following me on X, I initially recommended Joel Embiid Over 32.5 points at -110 earlier today. While the line has since shifted to 33.5 on most books, BetMGM is holding at 32.5. Even if your only option is 33.5, I still endorse it, albeit with a slightly reduced hit rate from 57% to 54%. My strong belief is that Embiid will exert his dominance against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets.

There’s speculation that the Nuggets might rest most of their core players tonight, potentially enjoying a 4-day layover with no games played. Regardless, Embiid is poised for a monumental performance on national TV. Heading into the second leg of a back-to-back after scoring 41 points yesterday in just 31 minutes, Embiid has shown resilience on zero days of rest this season. In his last outing in a similar scenario, he scored 42 points in under 30 minutes.

Even in the event of a potential blowout, Embiid remains nearly “blowout proof.” Barring foul trouble, his rotation ensures he plays significant minutes, with guaranteed appearances in the entire 1st and 3rd quarters. In the 28 games this season where he played at least 27 minutes, he surpassed this points line in 15 of them. As a basketball enthusiast, the hope is that Jokic takes the court. In their last matchup, Embiid delivered a stellar 47-point performance. When it comes to defending centers, the Nuggets rank in the league’s top half in points allowed to the position.

Don’t overlook our enticing Nuggets vs. 76ers Same Game Parlay for tonight’s matchup, offering an intriguing +1021 odds.

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