Best MLB Bet Picks Today 06-28-23: YRFI & NRFI- The Bet Club

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Welcome to The Bet Club: MLB Betting Action on June 28th, 2023. Get ready for another exciting day of MLB baseball betting as we dive into the action on June 28th, 2023. Today’s slate features a full lineup of games, including some thrilling afternoon matchups.

MLB Highlights Yesterday

Let’s recap the highlights from yesterday’s games, where Shohei Ohtani once again displayed his exceptional skills with a stellar performance for the Angels. Additionally, the Marlins secured a convincing 10-1 victory over the Red Sox, while the A’s caused an upset by defeating the Yankees 2-1. The Bet Club team had another successful day, going 2-1 on Best Bets and 1-0 on MLB props.

Today’s MLB Schedule:

Prepare yourself for another action-packed day of baseball, with a full slate of 15 games scheduled. The excitement starts early with a 12:20 pm ET game between the Twins and Braves, airing on MLB Network. Don’t miss out on any of today’s MLB best bet picks.

Best MLB Bet of the Day:

MLB Best Bet Tonight: Tampa Bay Rays ML over Arizona Diamondbacks (-146) at 9:40 pm ET

Our best bet of the day is backing the Tampa Bay Rays to secure a victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rays will rely on starting pitcher Zach Eflin, who boasts a 3.35 ERA and an impressive 1.03 WHIP. Eflin’s strong performance is backed by his high percentiles in various statistical categories. While the Diamondbacks possess talent, Eflin has the ability to stifle their offense. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks’ starting pitcher, Zach Davies, has struggled this season, recording a 1-4 record with a 7.82 ERA and a 1.82 WHIP. Davies ranks near the bottom of the league in most categories, making the Rays the favorable pick for this matchup.

Best MLB Bet NRFI / YRFI Picks:

For those seeking shorter-lasting bets, the NRFI (No Run First Inning) and YRFI (Run First Inning) options provide quick outcomes, requiring only six outs to determine the bet’s fate. These bets often offer attractive odds and allow bettors to avoid the tension of waiting for a full game result. Before exploring these picks, be sure to check out our MLB picks for all the Wednesday games.

Best MLB Bet: San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: NRFI (-125)

In this matchup, we have Blake Snell, who has been resembling his Cy Young form from 2018 in recent performances. Over his last 36 innings, Snell has allowed a mere 2 earned runs, resulting in an outstanding 0.50 ERA since mid-May. Snell’s remarkable numbers are not merely the product of luck; his opponents have struggled to hit against him, with a .139 batting average and a .169 expected batting average (xBA). Snell boasts a 41% strikeout rate and a 26% hard-hit rate, surpassing his season averages. Facing a struggling Pirates offense with a wRC+ of just 73 in June, Snell is poised to dominate. Key Pirates hitters, such as Ke’Bryan Hayes, Andrew McCutchen, and Connor Joe, have struggled against Snell in their careers, further supporting the NRFI pick.

Best MLB Bet: Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Orioles: YRFI (-113)

Luke Weaver has emerged as one of the weakest first-inning pitchers in MLB. In 12 starts, Weaver has recorded a staggering 14.25 ERA in the opening frame. Opponents have tormented him, batting .424 with a .470 on-base percentage, .712 slugging percentage, and a 1.182 OPS in the first inning. Weaver’s struggles have been particularly evident in recent starts, where he has allowed multiple first-inning runs. His flat fastball and below-average strikeout rate place him in the bottom 20% of pitchers in various categories. Facing a potent Orioles lineup, including hitters like Austin Hays, Adley Rutschman, and Anthony Santander, Weaver is likely to face significant challenges. On the other side, the Reds’ Kyle Gibson has been susceptible in the first inning, allowing a .286 batting average and a .754 OPS. With key Reds hitters holding favorable matchups against Gibson, at least one team is expected to score in the opening frame.

Best MLB Bet San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates First 3 Innings (F3) Under 2.5 (-120)

Blake Snell has been experiencing a resurgence reminiscent of his Cy Young-winning form in 2018. Over his last 36 innings, the talented left-hander has allowed a mere 2 earned runs, resulting in an exceptional 0.50 ERA since mid-May. These impressive numbers are not simply a result of luck, as Snell has held opponents to a minuscule .139 batting average and a .169 expected batting average (xBA) during this stretch. Additionally, he boasts an impressive 41% strikeout rate and a low 26% hard-hit rate, both significantly better than his season averages. Snell’s improved control and overall performance indicate that he is no longer the same pitcher who struggled with a 5.30 ERA in April.

In Wednesday’s game, Snell will face a Pirates offense that has also undergone significant changes since April, but unfortunately not in a positive way. As of Tuesday’s game, the Pirates have displayed a lackluster 73 wRC+ in June, ranking 29th in baseball. This offensive decline makes them even more vulnerable against Snell’s dominant pitching.

On the other side of the matchup, Mitch Keller has been impressive when pitching at home. Pittsburgh’s top pitcher boasts a 4-1 record with a stellar 2.78 ERA and a remarkable 0.949 WHIP in seven starts at PNC Park this season. Opposing batters have struggled mightily, managing just a .195 batting average and a .569 OPS against Keller in these home games. Additionally, in their initial encounters with Keller, hitters have recorded a .220 average with a significant 34% strikeout rate. Keller’s formidable presence on the mound will pose a challenge to a Padres lineup that has notably underperformed this season.

Considering the offensive struggles of both teams, particularly in the early innings, it is prudent to avoid the middle and later innings where they tend to do the majority of their damage. Therefore, a sensible approach would be to bet on the under for the first three innings of the game, as it is likely to be a low-scoring affair.

Conclusion:

Get ready for a thrilling day of MLB baseball action on June 28th, 2023. The Tampa Bay Rays are our top pick for the day, backed by Zach Eflin’s impressive performance. If you prefer shorter-lasting bets, consider the NRFI pick in the San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game, with Blake Snell showcasing his dominant form. For a YRFI play, focus on the Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Orioles matchup, as Luke Weaver’s struggles in the first inning make runs likely. Enjoy the games and don’t miss out on our other MLB picks for the day!

Parlay Tonight?

We do love a good parlay bet and there is probably not many more better than to bundle up a few of these best bet picks. We are choosing the Best Bet of the Day Tampa Bay Rays ML win to anchor the MLB Parlay, and then adding Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Orioles YRFI, and San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates F3.

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