Best MLB Bet Picks for 07-04-2023 Celebrations- The Bet Club

Welcome to The Bet Club and Happy 4th of July! Today’s holiday baseball schedule features an exciting full slate of 15 games. Let’s recap yesterday’s action before diving into today’s bets. The Astros and Rangers provided an early fireworks show with Houston rallying from an 8-run deficit to secure a 12-11 victory. The Yankees finished strong with a 6-3 win over the Orioles, and the Braves extended their winning streak to nine games with a 4-2 victory against the Guardians. The highlight of the day is the rare 11:05 am ET start time for the Reds and Nationals, along with nine other afternoon matchups to celebrate this July 4 holiday.

MLB Picks and Parlay: 4th July Fireworks!

MLB Best Bet: Atlanta Braves first 5 innings team total over 2.5 (+100)

Backing the best offence in baseball, the Atlanta Braves, is today’s featured Best Bet play and also our first leg of the Parlay. The Braves will face Shane Bieber, the 2020 AL Cy Young winner. Although Bieber remains a talented pitcher, the odds should not have been set at even money for Atlanta’s first 5 inning team total. The Braves have surpassed this mark in 13 of their last 16 opportunities against right-handed starting pitchers. Since June 1, the Braves rank first in key offensive categories against right-handed pitching, including wOBA, ISO, AVG, OPS, hard-hit rate, HR/FB%, and wRC+. Their lineup boasts five All-Stars, along with power hitters like Marcell Ozuna and Eddie Rosario. Additionally, Michael Harris II, the league’s best ninth hitter and last season’s NL Rookie of the Year, adds depth to an already formidable lineup. While Bieber remains a solid pitcher, his strikeout numbers have declined, and he is allowing more contact, especially hard-hit contact. The Braves’ ability to make consistent contact and their success against Bieber’s pitch mix make them a strong bet to exceed the 2.5 run mark in the first five innings.

MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers alt run line -2.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates (+130)

For the second leg of this parlay, we’re backing the Los Angeles Dodgers on an alternate run line. Although the Dodgers have experienced some inconsistency lately, this home series against the Pirates provides an opportunity for them to regain their winning ways. Bobby Miller, the Dodgers’ young phenom, aims to bounce back after a couple of subpar outings. Despite those recent struggles, Miller showed promise in his first four Major League starts. Facing a Pirates lineup that ranks 24th in SLG and OPS, Miller should have a strong outing at home. The Dodgers’ offense, led by their top hitters, is capable of producing consistent runs against Pirates starter Luis Ortiz. Ortiz has struggled, ranking in the bottom 5 percentile in key pitching metrics. With the potential for a lopsided victory, the Dodgers on an alternate run line offer value for this parlay.

MLB: LA Angels -1.5 over San Diego Padres (+180)

In this bet, we find value with Shohei Ohtani on the mound for the LA Angels. Ohtani’s recent performances have been impressive, with the Angels winning 11 of his last 15 starts. Furthermore, five of their last six victories with Ohtani pitching have been by multiple runs. Ohtani has been dominant on the mound, allowing only four runs in his last 19.1 innings of work. Additionally, Ohtani’s offensive contributions make him a standout player in the league. Despite the Angels’ recent struggles, they have a favorable matchup against the struggling San Diego Padres. The Padres have struggled since June 20, posting a 4-10 record in their last 14 games and a 2-7 record in their last 9 games. With Ohtani’s presence and the Padres’ struggles, the Angels have a good chance of winning by a margin of at least two runs.

(Note: All odds mentioned are valid at the time of publishing.)

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