Best MLB Bet Picks Tonight 06-29-23

Welcome to The Bet Club tonight, where our betting analysts have a full slate of Major League Baseball games taking place on Thursday 06-29-23. I have analyzed today’s MLB games and found three best bet picks: one Run Line (ATS Pick) and two Best Bet NRFI/YRFI picks.

Best MLB Bet of the Day

MLB: San Diego Padres Run Line Pick -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates (-114)

In the first leg of this parlay, I’m backing the Padres on the run line. Luis Ortiz has struggled as a pitcher this season, ranking poorly in advanced metrics such as xSLG, xERA, xwOBA, and strikeout percentage. Facing a Padres team looking to avoid a sweep, Ortiz is likely to encounter more difficulties. On the other side, Joe Musgrove has solid metrics, including a 3.11 xERA, strong hard-hit percentage, chase rate, and average exit velocity. This sets up a favorable scenario for San Diego, and I expect them to secure a routine victory.

Best MLB Bet NRFI/YRFI:

With plenty of MLB games taking place each day, betting on whether a run will be scored in the first inning has become popular. I have a 6-1-1 record with my YRFI/NRFI plays, so let’s continue the momentum!

MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets: NRFI (-125)

For our first pick, we’re going with the NRFI in the Brewers vs. Mets matchup at Citi Field. Max Scherzer has had some outstanding starts since returning from suspension, and I don’t expect a repeat of his poor performance in his last home start. The Mets’ offense has been lackluster, and Adrian Houser has been solid on the road, indicating a low-scoring start to the game.

MLB: Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels: YRFI (-110)

In this AL showdown, we’re going with the YRFI. Both pitchers, Lance Lynn and Patrick Sandoval, have been prone to giving up runs early in games. Lynn has been inconsistent this season, and Sandoval’s metrics suggest he’s susceptible to allowing runs. With the potential offensive firepower of both teams, an early run is likely.

Conclusion:

Tonight’s MLB games offer plenty of betting opportunities, and these are my top three picks. Backing the Padres on the run line, taking the NRFI in the Brewers vs. Mets game, and going for the YRFI in the White Sox vs. Angels matchup. Enjoy the games and good luck with your bets!

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