Best MLB Picks and Parlay 05-13-23:

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Get ready for some MLB action with BNB Bet Club’s betting picks for Saturday, May 13, 2023. If you don’t want to wait until the end of the game to see if your bet pays off, then the YRFI/NRFI market is perfect for you. Watch the first inning and see where the chips fall. With all teams playing, there are two games that stand out with potential for high-scoring offenses. Check out our MLB picks for each game.

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Todays Best MLB Bet YRFI Pick: Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers: YRFI (-122)

Despite having just 12 wins, the Kansas City Royals have scored the most runs in May than any other team in Major League Baseball, with 67 runs in their last 10 games. Their pitching staff has a 5.38 ERA on the year, and Zack Greinke hasn’t been helping with his worst ERA since 2005 and a 41.5% hard-hit rate. He’s facing the Brewers, who we expect to start the game extremely aggressively. Royals will face Adrian Houser, who only made his 2nd start of the season and had hard contact early in his first start. The Royals have the 3rd highest hard-hit rate in baseball, and we like their chances against Houser.

Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlay Today 05-13-23

#1 Best Bet in MLB Baseball Today Pick: KC Royals vs MIL Brewers – Game Totals PickBest Bet Over 9.0 (-110)

It’s remarkable, but the Kansas City Royals have been performing well in their offense lately, scoring the highest number of runs among all teams in May. They have also been excelling in every offensive statistic. However, their defense has been giving up a considerable number of runs – 55 in their last ten games. One of the primary factors for this issue is Zack Greinke, whose poor performance has resulted in a 5.38 ERA for the Royals’ starting rotation. Greinke’s hard-hit rate of 41.5% and low strikeout rate of 15.3% are contributing to his worst ERA since 2005. He has also conceded eight homers in just eight games, making it likely that the Brewers will be more aggressive against him.

Additionally, Adrian Houser is set to make his second start for the Milwaukee Brewers. He ran into problems during his first outing, allowing seven hits in only 4.2 innings of work, with the consistent hard contact being the most concerning issue. All three balls hit off Houser in the first inning alone were classified as hard contact, which means any ball hit with an exit velocity of 95 mph or higher, according to Statcast. Considering the Royals’ third-highest hard-hit rate in baseball at 43.9%, I believe they have a good chance against Houser. Therefore, I am betting on the over with the game total set at only nine runs.

This is todays best bet in MLB Baseball prediction: Over 9 (-110)

#2 MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies ML (+135) over Philadelphia Phillies

Ryan Feltner has been catching my eye a lot over the last few weeks. Although his 5.08 ERA is nothing special, he’s been much better in his recent starts. Feltner had 3 really poor outings at the beginning of the season, which skewed his ERA slightly because since those starts, he has allowed just a .240 batting average with a 21% strikeout rate and just a 34% hard-hit rate. Admittedly, he didn’t look great in his last outing, primarily because he allowed 6 walks which blew up his pitch count. Walks have always been a slight problem for Feltner, which was the case in his first start against the Phillies this season, but the right-hander still threw 5.2 scoreless innings at Citizens Bank Park.

Ranger Suarez will make his season debut this evening in Colorado. The lefty has been sidelined for a while with an elbow injury but made 3 rehab starts in preparation for his return. He will take on a Rockies lineup who have won 8 of their last 11 games and actually out-hit Philadelphia last night even though they lost. In the last 2 weeks, Colorado is hitting .279 with a .342 on-base percentage and they look undervalued tonight. Feltner has already proved he can shut down the Philadelphia lineup, so I’m taking a shot on him to do it again at a great price.

#3 MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+130) over San Francisco Giants

I’m starting to think that Zac Gallen isn’t human. The Diamondbacks ace was incredible last season and even had a streak of 6 consecutive starts without allowing a run. That streak put Gallen’s name on the map for the NL Cy Young award, and it looks like he’s back to his old tricks already this season. Gallen was riding high on a 28 consecutive scoreless innings streak before the Rangers were able to break it up 2 weeks ago. But he bounced back with another incredible start against the Marlins as he finished with 1 run and 5 hits allowed in 7 innings. If you take out his first 2 starts of the season, Gallen is allowing a .168 batting average with a .213 xBA and a 39% strikeout rate in 6 outings.

Anthony DeSclafani has had a weird last few weeks. The veteran began the month with an 8-inning scoreless start with just 3 hits allowed in Houston to the reigning World Series champs, which lowered his season ERA to 2.13. But then DeSclafani returned home and was shelled by the Nationals for 5 runs and 10 hits in 7 innings. That start is worrisome because Washington has been one of the worst teams against right-handed pitching this season while the Diamondbacks rank 6th in wRC+ against righties. Gallen has an excellent chance to start a new scoreless streak on Saturday night, and it should come during a multi-run win.

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