Best MLB Picks and Parlay 07-05-23: YRFI & NRF- The Bet Club

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Welcome to The Bet Club and plenty of MLB Baseball betting action as we delve into a full slate of Major League Baseball games on Wednesday. After thoroughly analyzing today’s matchups, our betting specialists have identified two games that stand out as the best MLB bets of the day and also present a tasty Parlay betting opportunity.

Before we dive into the Parlay Bet, let us check out our MLB best bets for today’s games.

When it comes to MLB games, one of the fastest bets you can make is predicting whether a run will be scored in the first inning (YRFI/NRFI). This market has gained popularity over time, offering value and a quicker result compared to full-game bets. I’m currently on a 10-3-1 run with my YRFI/NRFI plays, and so let’s keep the momentum going and bet better together. Let’s deep dive into the two YRFI/NRFI bets I like on Wednesday and do not forget to check out the Parlay bet later in this article.

Best MLB Bets Today: NRFI / YRFI

Check out our MLB Picks and Parlay selections for today, but for now, let’s dive into the two YRFI / NRFI bets I like for this Wednesday baseball action.

Best MLB Bet: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: YRFI (-130)

In this NL matchup between the Reds and Nationals, I’m leaning towards the YRFI. The Reds have been impressive this season, with a potent offense that ranks seventh in runs scored. However, their pitching staff has struggled, allowing the fourth-most runs in the league. Graham Ashcraft, with an ERA of 6.66 and poor numbers in xERA and xBA, has contributed to Cincinnati’s pitching woes. I expect him to give up an early run on Wednesday.

Even if the Nationals struggle against Ashcraft, the Reds’ offense has been exceptional, averaging nearly 10 runs per game over the last two weeks. While Josiah Gray has been solid for the Nationals, his xERA suggests regression may be on the horizon. With both teams capable of scoring early, I’m backing the YRFI in this matchup.

Best MLB Bet: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: NRFI (-125)

In this NL Central clash between the Cubs and Brewers, I’m going with the NRFI. While not the most high-profile pitching matchup, it might be the best on the slate. Justin Steele has been impressive, excelling in various aspects of his game. He limits hard contact, has a low walk rate, and boasts impressive numbers across the board. The Brewers’ average offense shouldn’t pose much of a threat to Steele, who has allowed just three runs in his last four outings.

On the other side, Adrian Houser has been solid recently, surrendering only nine runs over his last 22 innings pitched. Although his strikeout numbers aren’t impressive, he prevents hitters from squaring up his pitches and has performed well in his last four home starts. Expect a quick start from Houser in Wednesday’s contest.

Best MLB Picks and Parlay Bet for Today

Now, let’s get into my MLB parlay bet for Wednesday.

MLB Parlay Bet Picks:

  • Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers: Under 8.5 (-110)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers alternate run line -2.5 (+130)
  • Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals: Over 9.5 (-110)

MLB Parlay Odds: +738

#1 MLB Parlay Pick: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers: Under 8.5 (-110)

In this NL Central clash between the Cubs and Brewers, I’m taking the under. Although this starting pitching matchup may not be well-known among casual fans, it could be one of the best on the slate. Justin Steele takes the mound for the Cubs, and he has quietly been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball this season. Steele excels at limiting hard contact and walks, with impressive advanced numbers across the board. The Brewers’ struggling offense, ranked 27th in SLG and OPS, is unlikely to pose a significant challenge to Steele, who has surrendered just three runs in his last four outings.

On the other side, Adrian Houser has been solid, allowing only nine runs over his last 22 innings pitched, with the majority coming from a single start. Although Houser’s strikeout numbers are below average, he excels at preventing opposing hitters from squaring up his pitches, and he has performed well in his last four home starts. Expect a low-scoring game to kick off this parlay.

#2 MLB Parlay Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers alternate run line -2.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates (+130)

For the second leg of this parlay, I’m backing the Dodgers on an alternate run line. Despite some recent inconsistent performances, the Dodgers have a prime opportunity to rebound during their home series against the Pirates. Bobby Miller, who had an excellent start to his Major League career with a 0.78 ERA in his first four outings, is poised for a strong bounce-back performance. Miller’s xERA indicates that he has been even better than his ERA suggests. Facing a Pirates lineup ranked 24th in SLG and OPS, Miller should have the upper hand in this matchup.

The Dodgers’ offense has been volatile lately, but their top-of-the-lineup consistency should shine against Pirates starter Luis Ortiz, who ranks in the bottom 5 percentile in multiple statistical categories. If the Dodgers perform up to their potential, they should secure a convincing victory in this game.

#3 MLB Parlay Pick: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals: Over 9.5 (-110)

To complete our parlay, I’m selecting the over in the matchup between the Reds and Nationals. Tuesday’s game saw the over hit comfortably, and I anticipate a similar outcome on Wednesday based on the starting pitching matchup. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed the fourth-most runs this season, and Graham Ashcraft has been among the struggling Reds pitchers, boasting a 6.66 ERA and poor xERA and xBA numbers. Ashcraft has given up at least six runs in five of his last ten outings, providing the Nationals with an opportunity to capitalize.

While Josiah Gray has been solid for the Nationals, his xERA suggests that some regression may be on the horizon. Let’s back the over in Washington, expecting both teams to contribute to the run total.

Stay tuned for more MLB picks and best bets throughout the season!

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