Best NBA Picks 04-21-23: Celtics lead the way – The Bet Club

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Best NBA Bet Picks and Parlay 04-21-2023: Celtics lead the way! 

Best Bet NBA ATS Pick: Celtics -5 (-110) 

The series shifts to Atlanta for Game 3 between the Celtics and Hawks. Boston has thoroughly dominated both games so far, and I don’t expect that to change as Atlanta is just overmatched on both ends of the floor. 

The Hawks have scored nearly 120 points per game at home, but the Celtics have limited Atlanta to just 40% shooting from the field in the first 2 games. The Hawks averaged 45% shooting in both home games against the Celtics during the regular season, but Boston shot 54% from the field in both games in Atlanta.

The Hawks will be motivated knowing that if they lose, they would need to make history to continue their season. The Celtics have won and covered in 7 straight against Atlanta, though, and until I see the Hawks showing that they can play with Boston, I will continue to lay the points with the Celtics. The Hawks’ porous defense shouldn’t be able to contain a Celtics team that has shot 46.5% from beyond the arc in Atlanta this season.

Best Bet NBA Pick: Game Totals Over 228 in Celtics vs Hawks (-110)

Both games in the Boston vs Atlanta series have stayed under the total so far, and the biggest reason for that is that Atlanta hasn’t been able to score anywhere near its season average against a Celtics defense that is in the top 5 in the NBA. The Hawks have not been able to start fast and haven’t scored more than 25 points in the first quarter in either game. I think that will change in Atlanta. The total for the first quarter is set at 59 and that is a sign that both teams are expected to start fast and score a lot.

This handicap is purely based on game script. The Hawks will have the home-court advantage and desperation on their side. I expect Trae Young to start fast and keep the Hawks in the game. If the Hawks start slowly, my guess is that Boston will step on their throat and take advantage. That means the game won’t go over, the Hawks won’t cover and their season will be over. In the teams’ last game in Atlanta during the regular season on March 11, they combined for 259 points. 

Best Bet NBA Pick: Oddsmakers have brought this total down enough for me to look in the other direction and go over 228. NBA Game Totals Over 228

NBA Picks and Parlays for Friday 04-21-2023

Are you ready for some NBA action? Check out our top picks and parlays for Friday’s games. We have carefully analyzed the matchups and identified the best bets for you to consider. From alternate spreads to money lines, we have a diverse selection of picks that offer excellent value. Let’s dive into the details of our parlay for Friday’s games.

#1 NBA Parlay ATS Pick: Boston Celtics -9.5 alternate spread over Atlanta Hawks (+170)

The Boston Celtics have dominated the Atlanta Hawks in the first two games of their Eastern Conference first-round series. With convincing wins of 112-99 and 13 points, the Celtics have clearly established themselves as the superior team. As the series shifts to Atlanta, there is little reason to believe that the Hawks can turn the tide.

Despite the Hawks’ change in coaching during the All-Star break, with Nate McMillan being replaced by Quin Snyder, they have struggled to find their rhythm. The Hawks barely made it into the playoffs as a play-in tournament participant, and their lackluster performance in the first two games against the Celtics reflects their overall struggles this season.

With the Celtics’ superior talent and experience, along with their impressive performance in the first two games, they are well-positioned to cover the alternate spread of -9.5 points. 

Best NBA Parlay Pick opinion: This bet offers excellent value at +170, and we believe it is a solid addition to our parlay.

#2 NBA Parlay Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers Money Line over New York Knicks (+110)

The Cleveland Cavaliers showed resilience in bouncing back from their Game 1 loss to the New York Knicks. After allowing Jalen Brunson to go off in the first game, the Cavaliers made defensive adjustments in Game 2, holding Brunson to just 5-for-17 shooting and 1-for-8 from beyond the arc. As a result, the Cavaliers cruised to a 107-90 victory, tying the series at 1-1.

The Cavaliers have been impressive on the road, winning 6 out of their last 7 away games. While playoff games are inherently more challenging, the Cavaliers have shown the ability to handle pressure situations. With Darius Garland leading the charge with his scoring and playmaking, the Cavaliers have a good chance to take the lead in the series and regain home-court advantage.

Best NBA Parlay Pick opinion: At +110, the Cavaliers’ money line offers attractive odds, and we believe it is a worthwhile pick to include in our parlay.

#3 NBA Parlay Pick: Denver Nuggets -2.5 over Minnesota Timberwolves (-110)

The Denver Nuggets have been dominant in their first two games against the Minnesota Timberwolves. With a much more talented roster, the Nuggets have outclassed the Timberwolves in every aspect of the game. The Timberwolves, on the other hand, have struggled to keep up, and their chances of making a comeback in this series look bleak.

Despite the Nuggets’ subpar road record during the regular season, the Timberwolves have not been particularly strong at home either, with a 22-19 record. With the Nuggets’ firepower led by their MVP candidate, Nikola Jokic, and a solid supporting cast, they are well-equipped to cover the spread of -2.5 points.

Best NBA Parlay Pick opinion: Given the significant disparity in talent between the two teams, we believe that the Nuggets are a strong pick to include in our parlay at -110 odds.

NBA Parlay Odds: +957

By combining our three picks, we have assembled a parlay with odds of +957, which offers a substantial payout potential. We have carefully assessed the matchups and considered various factors such as team form, talent level, and historical performance to arrive at.

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