Best NBA Picks and Parlay Bets for 10-28-23: Expert Predicts

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Welcome to The Bet Club for our expert predictions of the best NBA Picks and Parlay Bets for 10-28-23. As the 2023/24 NBA season kicks off, 14 teams are set to take the court. NBA TV is featuring two games tonight, and our best NBA picks and parlay for the evening is right here.

Best Bets in NBA Today 10-28-23

NBA Totals Pick: CHI Bulls vs DET Pistons – Game Totals Pick Under 216.0 (-110)

Reasoning:
The Detroit Pistons have opened their season with two games scoring under 216 points. As both the Pistons and the Chicago Bulls play their second game of a back-to-back for the first time this season, the trend of low-scoring games may persist. The Bulls have been playing at the 25th slowest pace in the NBA over their first two games. Given that they went into overtime against the Toronto Raptors last night, fatigue could play a role, making it unlikely for them to speed up the game considerably.

The Pistons boast a top-5 defensive rating in the league, further complicating the Bulls’ ability to convert their possessions into points. The Bulls have been struggling with their three-point shooting, hitting only 24.7% of their attempts in the first two games, the worst mark in the league. Without an efficient perimeter game, the Bulls are likely to have difficulty scoring, particularly against Jalen Duren, who is averaging three blocks per game for the Pistons. Expect a game with minimal easy scoring opportunities, especially as the Bulls themselves rank fourth in the fewest paint points allowed. Given the Pistons’ 23rd rank in three-point attempts per game, it’s challenging to envision them single-handedly raising the point total.

Playable to under 214.

Top NBA Player Prop Bet: Tobias Harris (PHI) Over 19.5 points + rebounds (-117)

Let’s break it down:

Tobias Harris had an outstanding performance in his first game of the season, being highly efficient with an 8-for-9 field goal record, including 3-for-3 from beyond the arc. With James Harden not in the lineup, Harris will have an increased role, along with Tyrese Maxey, who also performed impressively. Harris excelled in the player prop market without Harden last season, surpassing the 23 points + rebounds line in 15 of 20 games while averaging 14 shot attempts.

In terms of rebounding, Harris has maintained consistency, averaging over 7 rebounds per game last season, including 7 in the season opener. The Philadelphia 76ers will face the Toronto Raptors, known for their strong defense and their tendency to focus on limiting stars, which could lead to increased opportunities for Harris. With the Raptors playing an overtime game the previous night and their key players seeing substantial playing time, the 76ers are poised to win on the road, with Harris playing a vital role.

Expert NBA Parlay for 10-28-23

Check out our expert three-leg NBA picks and parlay with +590 odds for the 10-28-23t:

  • Over 217.5 total points in Bulls vs Pistons (-110)
  • New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 (-108)
  • Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 (-114)

NBA Parlay odds: +590

  • Over 217.5 total points in Bulls vs Pistons (-110):
    Both the Bulls and the Pistons played games last night, suggesting that defense might not be a top priority tonight. Historically, when these teams played on the second night of a back-to-back last season, they allowed an average of 110.3 and 116.2 points per game. Additionally, the Bulls played an overtime game against the Raptors last night, which might lead to some tired legs. Of their four meetings, only one resulted in a low-scoring game, with the other three producing 232, 234, and 250 points. In today’s NBA, scoring 218 points doesn’t seem like a lot, so the over is a compelling choice.
  • New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 over NY Knicks (-108):
    The New York Knicks are playing on the second night of a back-to-back, while the New Orleans Pelicans have enjoyed a couple of days of rest before this game. With C.J. McCollum, Zion Williamson, and Brandon Ingram finally playing together for the Pelicans, they will have extra motivation after beating the Memphis Grizzlies by seven points on the road. New Orleans will be opening their season at home, and with Zion being a challenging matchup for the Knicks, who lack a defender capable of containing him, the Pelicans are poised to cover the spread.
  • Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 over Washington Wizards (-114):
    The Memphis Grizzlies need a win after starting the season 0-2, facing the Washington Wizards, one of the weaker teams in the league. While Ja Morant’s absence is a concern, Derrick Rose showed flashes of his capability to fill the void in the game against the Denver Nuggets. The Wizards are coming off a 23-point loss to the Indiana Pacers on the road, and their chances of winning games depend largely on Jordan Poole’s scoring. Marcus Smart is expected to contain him effectively. Memphis has a strong track record against the Wizards, going 8-4 ATS in their last 12 meetings and 6-2 SU in their last 8 head-to-head matchups.

Odds available at the time of publishing. Be sure to check out our NBA predictions and enjoy the game!

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