Cleveland Browns odds, season predictions and best NFL futures bets Guide 2023

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Welcome to The Bet Club NFL Cleveland Browns betting guide for 2023.

The Cleveland Browns appeared to be a rising force when they clinched a playoff victory on the road against Pittsburgh during the tumultuous 2020 Covid-impacted season. However, the past two seasons have been marked by frustration. In 2021, Baker Mayfield’s shoulder injury derailed their prospects, and the 11-game suspension of their new QB, Deshaun Watson, made last year an arduous journey from the start.

In a bid to turn things around, the Browns have taken significant steps to revamp their coaching staff, welcoming Jim Schwartz to lead their defense and bringing in Bubba Ventrone for special teams. Furthermore, they’ve executed some attention-grabbing moves in free agency and trades, showcasing their determination to make a return to the playoffs. It won’t be a cakewalk, given the fierce competition within their division, but it would be profoundly disappointing if this talent-packed roster doesn’t, at the very least, contend for a spot in the AFC playoffs.

Now, let’s delve into the odds and the most promising bets to consider for the upcoming Cleveland Browns season.

Cleveland Browns breakdown

2022 record: 7-10

2022 ATS record: 8-9

2022 O/U record: 8-8-1

Key players in: Dalvin Tomlinson (DT), Juan Thornhill (S), Za’Darius Smith (DE), Jordan Akins (TE), Elijah Moore (WR), Ogbonnia Okoronkwo (DE)

Key players out: Jacoby Brissett (QB), Jadeveon Clowney (DE), Kareem Hunt (RB), Greedy Williams (CB)

2023 NFL Draft class: Cedric Tillman (WR), Siaki Ika (DT), Dawand Jones (OT), Isaiah McGuire (DE), Dorian Thompson-Robinson (QB), Cameron Mitchell (CB), Luke Wypler (C).

Cleveland Browns 2023 NFL season odds

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.

Cleveland Browns Super Bowl odds

The Browns are +3500 to win Super Bowl LVIII. That means they are expected to be on the fringes of playoff contention, tied for 15th place in the outright odds.

Cleveland Browns AFC Championship odds

Cleveland comes in 9th in the AFC betting with +1800 odds to make the Super Bowl, but well clear of the 10th-ranked team, which is Denver at +3000.

Cleveland Browns AFC North odds

At +380, the Browns are listed 3rd in the AFC North market. The Bengals favorites at +150 and the Ravens come in next at +235 with the Steelers at +450.

Cleveland Browns win total odds 

The Browns have won 11, 8 and 7 games in the last 3 seasons,  and this season’s regular-season win total has been set at 9.5 games, with the over having +115 odds and the under coming in at -135. They are +600 to finish with exactly 10 wins and +700 for 11. It is also +700 that they repeat last year’s total of 7 regular-season wins.

Cleveland Browns 2023 schedule

Week 1: vs Cincinnati Bengals

Week 2: at Pittsburgh Steelers (Monday)

Week 3: vs Tennessee Titans

Week 4: vs Baltimore Ravens

Week 5: BYE

Week 6: vs San Francisco 49ers

Week 7: at Indianapolis Colts

Week 8: at Seattle Seahawks

Week 9: vs Arizona Cardinals

Week 10: at Baltimore Ravens

Week 11: vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 12: at Denver Broncos

Week 13: at Los Angeles Rams

Week 14: vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 15: vs Chicago Bears

Week 16: at Houston Texans

Week 17: vs New York Jets (Thursday)

Week 18: at Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns 2022 season recap

The Browns’ 2022 season faced adversity right from the start, particularly when QB Deshaun Watson’s initially manageable 6-game suspension unexpectedly ballooned to a daunting 11 games. This setback set the stage for a two-part season in which the Browns relied on a backup quarterback for 11 games and a rusty Watson for the remaining 6, following his 700-day absence from NFL action. During the initial stretch, Jacoby Brissett proved to be a dependable presence, with the team’s struggles primarily attributable to defensive breakdowns and lackluster special teams performances, leaving them further from success than they should have been by the time Watson returned.

One emblematic moment of their tumultuous season came in a dramatic 31-30 loss to the Jets. The Browns held a 30-17 lead with just 1:55 left on the clock, but a series of defensive coverage breakdowns and special teams mishaps allowed the Jets to stage a remarkable comeback. However, there were glimpses of the Browns’ potential, exemplified by their impressive 32-13 victory over the Bengals in Week 8, showcasing what the team could achieve when they minimized their errors. Unfortunately, this win occurred within a challenging 1-6 stretch that ultimately proved detrimental to their playoff hopes.

While Watson managed a 3-3 record in his 6 games and unquestionably showed signs of rust, it’s worth noting that the harsh playing conditions of December may have skewed his statistics, making his performance appear worse than it actually was.

Cleveland Browns 2023 NFL season predictions

The Browns have made some significant changes in their coaching staff, with new defensive and special teams coordinators coming on board. The overall roster appears to be stronger than it was in the previous year, with the most substantial improvement seen in the defensive line. Myles Garrett now has the support of Za’Darius Smith and Dalvin Tomlinson, creating a formidable attacking unit under the guidance of Jim Schwartz.

In the secondary, which already boasts top-notch cornerbacks like Denzel Ward, Greg Newsome, and Martin Emerson Jr., the players will likely thrive in a more aggressive man coverage scheme this season. Additionally, the acquisition of Super Bowl-winning safety Juan Thornhill from the Chiefs has added depth and experience to this defensive backfield.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Browns have made noteworthy moves by bringing in the elusive receiver Elijah Moore, who seems poised for a breakout season following his issues with the Jets’ coaching staff. Keep an eye on rookie Cedric Tillman as well; he appears to have great potential.

With these developments in mind, here are some predictions related to the upcoming Browns season.

Best bet: Cleveland Browns over 9.5 wins (+115)

The past couple of years haven’t exactly been smooth sailing for the Browns. However, this streak of misfortune has resulted in relatively modest expectations for their win total, which they seem poised to exceed. Their roster has improved to the extent that they will have to make some tough decisions when it comes to releasing some very talented players during cut-down day.

While the offense is set to become more pass-oriented this season, opposing defenses that underestimate the ground game will have to contend with the formidable Nick Chubb. The initial five games on their schedule present a formidable challenge, featuring matchups against tough opponents like the Bengals, Ravens, and 49ers, all leading up to an early bye week. However, the latter part of the schedule appears to be less daunting, with only the Jaguars and Ravens standing out as notable opponents until a challenging finish against the Jets and Bengals.

Considering the favorable schedule and the margin for absorbing up to 7 losses while still surpassing the 9.5-win mark, it appears to be a worthwhile bet to place your money on the Browns.

Cleveland Browns season record prediction: 11-6

The Browns undeniably possess the talent needed to achieve double-digit wins, and it appears they could do so quite comfortably. Even if they find themselves at a less-than-ideal 2-3 record by the time of their bye week, they still have a realistic shot at reaching that milestone. While the pressure might intensify if their early-season performance is subpar, it’s worth noting that the revamped Browns seem well-equipped to make a significant impact in the competitive AFC playoff race, barring any unforeseen unraveling of their season.

The Bet Club is the home of free Expert NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Be sure to check out all of our season previews and NFL Futures Bets leading up to the 2023 NFL Season.

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