Expert MLB Best Bet Picks Tonight 07-07-2023 – The Bet Club

Welcome to our expert MLB best bets for today’s action-packed slate of games on 07-07-2023. We have an exciting matchup between the Braves and Rays in Tampa Bay, along with other thrilling games, including Alek Manoah’s return and Carlos Rodon’s Yankees debut. Let’s dive into our best bet for Friday, and don’t forget to visit our MLB picks and parlay for all the games.

Best MLB Bets:

Best MLB Bet of the Day: Cincinnati Reds ML (+105) over Milwaukee Brewers

The future looks bright for the Cincinnati Reds as their youthful lineup has been performing exceptionally well, leading to an explosive offense. With five consecutive wins and eight wins in their last nine games, the Reds have surged to the top of the NL Central standings. Against right-handed pitchers, the Reds boast a 123 wRC+ in the last 30 days, which is the third-best in baseball, trailing only the Braves and Angels. However, they face former Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes of the Brewers, who has shown a noticeable split in his performance between home and away games. While Burnes has a solid season overall, his ERA jumps to 4.27 on his home mound.

Cincinnati’s Andrew Abbott has been impressive on the hill. With a 1.21 ERA and a 2.68 xERA in six starts, Abbott has allowed no more than one run in five of those outings. He recently had a stellar performance against the Padres, pitching 7.2 innings of 1-run ball with 12 strikeouts. Abbott’s fastball and curveball combination has been generating swings and misses, and he should continue to thrive against the inconsistent Brewers lineup, which ranks 26th against fastballs and 24th against curveballs.

Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Zac Gallen Bump Day

MLB Bet: Zac Gallen (Diamondbacks) under 5.5 hits allowed (-135)

Zac Gallen faces the Pittsburgh Pirates, a team he has already encountered earlier this season. While I typically avoid matchups where pitchers face familiar opponents, given that we’re nearing the All-Star break, it’s difficult to avoid such situations. Gallen struggled in his first game against the Pirates, allowing eight hits and recording only 11 outs on the road. However, Gallen has excelled at home this season, boasting a 1.50 ERA and limiting opponents to a .203 batting average. The Pirates have been struggling lately, sitting in 4th place in the NL Central and hitting just .221 against right-handed pitchers in the last 30 days, second-worst in the league.

Look for Gallen to continue his dominance at home, where he has stayed below this hits allowed line in seven of his nine starts and 11 of his 18 overall in 2023.

MLB Bet: Hunter Brown (Astros) under 2.5 earned runs (-135)

Hunter Brown has been a target for prop bets throughout the first half of the season. With an impressive strikeout rate and blistering fastball velocity, Brown presents a great opportunity for a strikeout prop. However, we’re turning our attention to his earned runs prop. Brown’s opponents, the Seattle Mariners, have been underwhelming this season, sitting at a .500 record. They have struggled against right-handed pitchers, hitting at the third-worst rate and striking out at a 25% clip. The Astros will likely rely on Brown to pitch around six innings, and with a rested bullpen, they won’t push him too far. The Mariners might increase Brown’s pitch count with strikeouts, but we trust him to work himself out of trouble.

Stay tuned for more free MLB picks, including MLB prop bets, MLB parlays, and expert analysis from our team of experts.

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