Friday NBA Parlay Picks 11-3-23: Experts Best at +881 Odds

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Welcome to The Bet Club for The 2023-24 NBA season. It has kicked off in grand style, treating fans to a plethora of high-profile primetime matchups and thrilling upsets throughout the league. With the launch of the in-season tournament on Friday, the action is heating up, featuring captivating contests such as Mavericks vs. Nuggets and Warriors vs. Thunder and our featured bet for Friday NBA Parlay Picks 11-3-23: Experts Best at +881 Odds.

NBA Picks and Parlay for Friday 11-3-23

A massive NBA hoops slate to inaugurate the in-season tournament demands an NBA parlay. Below, I present my picks for Friday, and don’t forget to explore all our NBA predictions for tonight’s in-season tournament games.

NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Nuggets over 226.5 (-110)

This showdown has all the makings of one of the tournament’s standout games, and we’re fortunate to get it on the opening night. The Denver Nuggets are showing the form of defending champions, led by the likes of Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon, all performing at an exceptionally high level. Denver is averaging 109 points per game across their first five games, including a single outlier performance against Minnesota, where they mustered only 89 points, resulting in their sole defeat of the season.

Scoring should come easily for the Nuggets against a struggling Mavericks defense that has allowed an average of 114 points per game this season, even against teams like Memphis and Chicago, which aren’t exactly renowned for their championship-caliber offenses. On the flip side, the Mavericks’ offense is running like a well-oiled machine, with Luka Doncic proving to be virtually unstoppable. I’ll continue betting on the Dallas overs until the oddsmakers make the necessary adjustments.

NBA Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder ML over Golden State Warriors (+176)

Oklahoma City is poised to make a run for the playoffs, even in a fiercely competitive Western Conference. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has already emerged as one of the brightest young talents in the league, and the addition of last year’s top pick, Chet Holmgren, has had a positive impact so far. Holmgren has shown his worth in the early Thunder games this season and is likely to excel against a Warriors front line that is notably undersized compared to other teams the Thunder have faced (Cavaliers, Nuggets, Pistons).

Conversely, while the Warriors are comfortable in their own right, they’re far from a finished product offensively in the early stages of the season. Chris Paul has made a noticeable impact, but most of the supporting cast around Stephen Curry has struggled to score when Curry is off the court. Oklahoma City, on the other hand, is a young team with multiple versatile wing defenders who can make life difficult for opposing ball handlers—a challenge the Warriors haven’t encountered this season. Expect Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to bounce back after a subpar outing against New Orleans and for the Thunder to pull off an outright upset on the road, capitalizing on their shotmaking and perimeter defense.

NBA Pick: Memphis Grizzlies ML over Portland Trail Blazers (-116)

Completing our mega parlay, I’m taking a leap of faith with the Memphis Grizzlies. Undoubtedly, the Grizzlies have been struggling and appear adrift on offense without Ja Morant. However, we must consider the Grizzlies’ early-season schedule, which featured matchups against the Nuggets, Mavericks, Pelicans, and a trip to Utah. In a few of those games, the Grizzlies were favored, and now we’re getting them at near-even odds against Portland. This seems like an overreaction.

It’s worth remembering that this Blazers team has struggled to shoot three-pointers with any consistency, and they lack a dominant big man in the paint to trouble Memphis’ backup bigs (DeAndre Ayton doesn’t quite fit the bill). Let’s seize the opportunity to back Memphis at what seems to be its lowest point in the market against a team I consider to be the weakest in the Western Conference.

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