Golf Picks: The Tour Championship Picks & Best Bets


The Bet Club golf season crescendos towards its pinnacle, with the Tour Championship beckoning with anticipation. The dramatic twists of the BMW Championship saw Viktor Hovland emerge victorious with a stunning Sunday round of 61 at Olympia Fields. Defying expectations, Hovland’s seven birdies in his last nine holes propelled him to victory, securing 2,000 FedExCup points. Meanwhile, Scottie Scheffler, who appeared to have the title in his grasp, witnessed Hovland’s meteoric rise.

Golf Picks

Intriguingly, my instinctual pick of Matthew Fitzpatrick at the week’s outset proved astute, earning a handsome return with his runner-up finish at +350. Max Homa, my outright selection, concluded the tournament tied for fifth after briefly holding the lead at the halfway point. Now, we transition to the grand finale—the Tour Championship. Although it doesn’t signify the season’s true conclusion, as the action extends to November, I’ll clarify the intricacies of this in the upcoming weeks.

The Golf Tour Championship field

The Tour Championship field stands locked, comprised of the final 30 competitors set to tee off at East Lake in Atlanta. This accomplishment ushers an array of benefits, including exemptions into three of the four majors, including the Masters. Remarkably, even the last-placed finisher this week is assured of $500,000. Yet, the ultimate FedExCup victor secures a staggering $18 million prize.

FedExCup Golf Playoff format

Navigating the labyrinthine FedExCup Playoff format introduces a staggered scoring system based on the season-long points list. Before the first tee shots echo on Thursday, the leaderboard is already set. The starting scores are as follows:

  • Scottie Scheffler: -10
  • Viktor Hovland: -8
  • Rory McIlroy: -7
  • Jon Rahm: -6
  • Lucas Glover: -5
  • Max Homa: -4
  • Patrick Cantlay: -4
  • Brian Harman: -4
  • Wyndham Clark: -4
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick: -4
  • Tommy Fleetwood: -3
  • Russell Henley: -3
  • Keegan Bradley: -3
  • Rickie Fowler: -3
  • Xander Schauffele: -3
  • Tom Kim: -2
  • Sungjae Im: -2
  • Tony Finau: -2
  • Corey Conners: -2
  • Si Woo Kim: -2
  • Taylor Moore: -1
  • Nick Taylor: -1
  • Adam Schenk: -1
  • Collin Morikawa: -1
  • Jason Day: -1
  • Sam Burns: E
  • Emiliano Grillo: E
  • Tyrrell Hatton: E
  • Jordan Spieth: E
  • Sepp Straka: E

For the second consecutive year, Scottie Scheffler commands a 10-stroke lead over five peers at the start. Notably, he maintains a two-stroke advantage over his closest rival. Nonetheless, golf’s volatile nature permits swift lead changes and unexpected collapses. Scheffler himself endured such a reversal last year, relinquishing a five-stroke lead after the opening round and eventually succumbing by a single stroke to Rory McIlroy.

East Lake Country Golf Club: Key Insights

East Lake is a stern test, a par-70 course spanning nearly 7,350 yards, offering minimal respite. With just two par 5s on offer, tee-to-green proficiency becomes pivotal. Navigating the challenging fairways and strategizing green placement on Donald Ross greens are critical skills. Historical data highlights the significance of strong approach play. Yet, the Tour Championship congregates the season’s 30 premier performers—statistics take a backseat as their elevated form trumps traditional trends.

Furthermore, Ryder Cup aspirations inject an additional layer of motivation, particularly for American contenders aiming to secure coveted roster spots. Experience around East Lake also wields substantial influence, bearing in mind the stipulated starting scores.

At +150, Scottie Scheffler emerges as the initial frontrunner, accompanied by Rory McIlroy at +350 and Jon Rahm at +850. While Scheffler’s favoritism is merited, I’ll closely monitor the first round, following his live odds before making a definitive choice.

Knockout Golf Tour Championship Picks

Viktor Hovland (+550)

Viktor Hovland, positioned at No.2 in the standings and commencing at 8-under par, merits attention. Following his splendid triumph at the BMW Championship, Hovland’s impressive showing warrants recognition. His evolution this season, highlighted by two victories and an array of top-10 finishes, showcases prowess. Hovland’s off-the-tee excellence, coupled with his consistency, marks him as a contender. His robust performance across major championships underscores his capabilities. A mere two-stroke deficit at East Lake from his starting position of last year could quickly vanish.

Xander Schauffele (+3500)

Xander Schauffele, a perennial force at East Lake, deserves serious consideration. His fourth-place finish last year and a history of success underscore his compatibility with the course. Schauffele’s recent form, featuring eleven top-20 finishes in his past fourteen starts, augments his appeal. His seven-stroke gap behind Scheffler may diminish considering his familiarity with the course’s nuances.

Keegan Bradley (+17500)

Keegan Bradley’s Ryder Cup aspirations fuel my next selection. With six automatic spots secured, the battle intensifies for the final six berths. Bradley’s fervent desire to make the team manifests on the course. Though his starting position of -3 demands a substantial resurgence, his resolve to seize this opportunity bodes well. Bradley’s victory at the Travelers in June serves as a testament to his capabilities under pressure.

Tour Championship Prop Golf Bets

Max Homa Top-5 (+300)

Max Homa’s steady progression places him in a favorable light. Having forecasted his resurgence last week, a T5 finish confirms his upward trajectory. His T5 finish in his East Lake debut last year amplifies his promise. At +300 odds, his consistent form could translate to another impressive showing.

Xander Schauffele Top American (+1200)

Amid Scheffler’s putter uncertainties, a scenario where McIlroy, Rahm, or Hovland clinch the FedExCup beckons consideration. In this context, Xander Schauffele’s remarkable East Lake history and enticing odds of 12/1 stand out. With his strong course compatibility and impressive form, Schauffele’s potential to claim top American honors is compelling.

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