MLB Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Same Game Parlay picks: Orioles stave off elimination at +533 odds


The Minnesota Twins have managed to level the series, bringing Game 3 back to Target Field and their enthusiastic fans. As they host the defending World Series champions, the Houston Astros, it’s set to be an exciting afternoon. A premier starting pitching matchup unfolds as Sonny Gray and Cristian Javier take the mound.

Same Game MLB Parlay: Game 3 +539

I’ve crafted a Same Game Parlay for this Game 3, offering a payout of +539 on Sportsbook.

MLB Pick: No Run First Inning (NRFI) (-125)

We kick off this parlay with the first inning of the game. The conditions at the first pitch are expected to be in the mid-50s, and one of these starting pitchers has been nearly untouchable in the first inning this season. Twins right-hander Sonny Gray boasts an impressive 0.84 first-inning ERA this season across 32 starts, with no first-inning home runs allowed and an opposing lineup batting just .168.

On the opposing side, Cristian Javier, while having an inconsistent season with a 4.56 ERA, is yet to face the Twins in 2023. Notably, hitters in the Twins lineup are 0-for-15 against Javier, and the Twins strike out more against right-handed pitching than any other team (27.0%). All signs point to a scoreless first inning.

MLB Pick: Alternate Total Under 7.5 (+106)

The second leg of this parlay builds upon the expectation of a scoreless first inning, foreseeing a lower-scoring game in general. Both teams have fresh bullpen options since they had a day off on Monday. A quality start from Sonny Gray is anticipated, considering his career-best season with a 2.79 ERA in 32 starts.

Gray has limited the Astros to just 3 earned runs over 13.0 innings this season. Notably, Gray has excelled in limiting home runs, giving up only 8 in 184.0 innings. While the Twins may make an impact against Javier, he has improved in his last four starts with a 3.05 ERA.

Both bullpens are immensely talented, owning top bullpen ERAs in the final month of the season. The expectation is that Javier may not pitch deep into the game, but the Houston bullpen can keep it competitive.

MLB Pick: Twins -0.5 First 5 Innings (+102)

Despite Javier finishing the season well, Gray has been exceptional for the past two months. Gray boasts a high ground ball rate (48.0%) and minimal home runs allowed throughout the season. This matchup may be frustrating for the Astros, who have struggled against Gray.

Gray has managed to pitch at least 5.0 innings in 29 of his 33 starts this season, while Javier’s ERA jumps to 5.37 between innings 4 through 6. Javier faces concerns when going through the Twins’ lineup more than once, especially against a team that hits home runs frequently.

Please note that odds were accurate at the time of publishing.

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