MLB Best Bet 07-18-23: NRFI/YRFI Picks

The MLB week is in full swing with 15 games on the agenda, and an additional continuation of Monday’s Giants vs. Reds game that got postponed due to rain. The game will resume in the top of the eighth inning with the score tied at 2-2. As for the regular Tuesday slate, the highlight is the TBS-televised showdown between the Orioles and Dodgers. Don’t miss our MLB best bet picks and same game parlay for today.

Best MLB Bet of the Day

MLB: Baltimore Orioles ML over Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) at 7:05 pm ET, TBS

The Dodgers are starting Michael Grove, who holds a 1-2 record with a 6.89 ERA. Grove’s performance percentiles are not promising, ranking in the lower end for most categories. On the other hand, the talented Baltimore offense looks promising in this matchup. The Orioles are countering with Tyler Wells, boasting a 7-4 record, a 3.18 ERA, and a 0.93 WHIP. After having their 8-game winning streak snapped, the Orioles are expected to bounce back. Check out our full Dodgers vs. Orioles predictions.

Best MLB Picks 07-18-23: YRFI & NRFI

In the first full week of the Major League Baseball season’s second half, we have an exciting Tuesday lineup. With a normal 15-game slate, there are ample opportunities to find successful YRFI/NRFI bets. The YRFI/NRFI market has gained popularity in baseball betting due to its immediate results. It all comes down to the first inning. Here are my favorite YRFI/NRFI plays for Tuesday, and be sure to check out all of our MLB picks for today’s matchups.

MLB Pick: Chicago White Sox vs. New York Mets: NRFI (-105)

When facing a matchup between the White Sox and Mets, NRFI is an attractive option. Chicago ranks 3rd-last in Major League Baseball with 0.39 first-inning runs per game, while New York is dead last at 0.28. The White Sox perform particularly weakly on the road, averaging 0.29 compared to 0.50 at home. Tuesday evening at Citi Field is unlikely to bring any changes to this pattern.

Carlos Carrasco will start for the Mets, having pitched to the NRFI in 5 of his last 7 starts. The left-hander is coming off his best start of the season, throwing 8.0 shutout innings against Arizona on July 7. Chicago will counter with Lucas Giolito, who displayed a 2.32 ERA in June and a 2.77 ERA in 2 July outings. Giolito has pitched scoreless opening frames in 5 of his last 7 efforts. With both pitchers well-rested after the all-star break, the NRFI at -105 holds stellar value.

MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: NRFI (-106)

Although Tampa Bay and Texas boast strong first-inning offenses (5th and 8th, respectively), the NRFI presents value at close to even money. Nathan Eovaldi starts for Texas with a 10-3 record and a 2.83 ERA. Eovaldi has pitched clean first innings in 2 of his last 3 appearances, and he held the Rays scoreless through the first 3 innings in a June 10 matchup. The top of the TB lineup hasn’t fared well against Eovaldi, making the NRFI an appealing bet.

Taj Bradley takes the mound for Tampa Bay. While his overall performance in 2023 isn’t remarkable, Bradley has thrown first-inning blanks in each of his last 2 starts and in 7 of his last 8. As a 22-year-old rookie, the Rangers’ hitters are not familiar with him. The NRFI is the play for tonight.

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