MLB Best Bet in Baseball Picks for 04-10-2023:

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MLB Best Bet in Baseball Picks for 04-10-2023:

Welcome to another Best Bet Picks in MLB Baseball edition for 04-10-2023. As the MLB season approaches its two-week mark, teams are beginning to establish their identities. With a busy schedule of 14 games on Monday, we aim to build on our successful run of Best Bets. Now, let’s proceed to my top MLB wagers for Monday, and don’t forget to check out our MLB forecasts for all of today’s contests.

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Best Bet Pick MLB: Tampa Bay Rays Team Total over 4.5 (-110)

On April 10, 2023, our best bet MLB pick is the Tampa Bay Rays team total over 4.5 (-110). This bet is available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

The Tampa Bay Rays have had an impressive start to the season, winning all nine of their games so far. They are now looking to become the first team to reach 10 wins. However, tonight’s game sees Jalen Beeks and Josh Fleming on the mound, which could pose a challenge for the Rays. To counteract this, we have turned to the game props to back a trend that has won eight times in a row.

Rays Offense On Fire

The Rays’ offense has been on fire since Opening Day, where they beat the Detroit Tigers 4-0. This has been the only game where they have scored fewer than five runs, as they have averaged 8.88 runs per game since that win. Their offense ranks second in batting average and first in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS after nine games.

It’s important to note that the Rays haven’t just been winning their games, but they have been dominating their opponents. They have beaten teams such as Detroit, Washington, and Oakland, and even though the Boston rotation might sound more challenging, it’s not. The Red Sox’s starting rotation currently has the third-worst ERA in baseball, with only the Tigers and Athletics behind them.

On Monday night, the Red Sox will put Nick Pivetta on the mound, and it’s unlikely to be a pretty sight. In his season debut, Pivetta managed to allow only three runs to the Pirates, but he had a 76.9% hard-hit rate and an incredible 38.5% barrel rate. This means he was barreled five times in one outing, which is quite alarming given that he was barreled 47 times in 33 starts last year. Furthermore, Pivetta struggled against the Rays last year, going 0-3 with a 6.86 ERA and a .286 opponent batting average in four starts.

Once Pivetta’s day is done, the Rays’ opportunities to score will continue. Although Boston’s bullpen has been decent to start the season, Josh Schreiber, Chris Martin, and Kenley Jansen have all appeared frequently and may need a day off. Given all of this, we feel confident that the Tampa Bay Rays will have no problem scoring at least five runs in this game.

Best Bet Pick MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-140) over San Francisco Giants

The Los Angeles Dodgers have had a slow start to the season, currently sitting at a 5-5 record following three consecutive losses to the Arizona Diamondbacks. However, they’ll be looking to turn things around in their first rivalry series of the year against the San Francisco Giants. Both teams will be putting their aces on the mound, with Julio Urias starting for the Dodgers and Logan Webb for the Giants. While this may have been a perfect No Runs First Inning spot last season, there’s a better bet to make in this game.

Urias has dominated the Giants in his career, having allowed only one earned run in his last 18 innings pitched against them. This will be his tenth career start at Oracle Park, where he has a 2.45 ERA and a .236 opponent batting average through 13 appearances and nine starts. Not only does history favor Urias, but he also has the advantage of being a lefty. The Giants have struggled against left-handed pitching this season, ranking 30th in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. They’re hitting just .153 against southpaws, with a 44% strikeout rate.

Webb, on the other hand, has made a name for himself as the new Giants ace, but he hasn’t fared well against the Dodgers in his career. In ten starts against Los Angeles, he’s 2-4 with a 4.44 ERA and a .259 opponent batting average. The top of the Dodgers’ lineup has had success against Webb, with Mookie Betts hitting .435, Freddie Freeman hitting .500, and Max Muncy hitting .300 in their careers against him. The Dodgers rank third in OPS against right-handed pitching this season, and they should have success against Webb.

The Dodgers were projected to be -160 favorites in this game, so there’s value on their money line at -140.

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