MLB Best Bets Today 04-25-23

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Welcome to another exciting Tuesday of BNB Bet Club sports betting action! We have a fantastic full MLB slate lined up for our best bet picks on MLB baseball today 04-25-2023, so let’s dive right in and help you make your next baseball bet even better!

Tampa Bay Record Breakers

The Tampa Bay Rays continue to make history with their record-breaking performance. Last night, they secured their 14th consecutive home win, setting a modern-era record for the best start to a season. With an overall record of 20-3, the Rays are off to an incredible start, reminiscent of the 1955 Brooklyn Dodgers who went 21-2. In the AL East, the Orioles are also on a hot streak, winning their seventh consecutive game with a thrilling 5-4 victory over the Red Sox.

MLB Betting Action Today

As for the MLB action today, we have a full slate of games, including our Best Bet Picks and a Parlay. The action kicks off with the Cardinals taking on the Giants on ESPN+ at 9:45 pm ET. With 15 games in total, there’s plenty of exciting baseball action to look forward to and plenty of betting opportunities to capitalize on.

So, gear up for an action-packed day of MLB betting, and let’s make your next bet a winning one with our expert picks and insights. Happy betting!

Expert MLB Best Bets, Picks, and Predictions for April 25, 2023

As pitchers start to settle in with 3-4 starts under their belt, today’s MLB slate offers some exciting opportunities for best bets. With 4 MLB best bets to consider, including 2 at plus-money odds, let’s dive into the picks for Tuesday. Don’t forget to check back later for all our MLB and Sports Parlay picks for today’s sporting events.

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MLB Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates F5 Money Line over Los Angeles Dodgers (+110)

Despite being overlooked by oddsmakers, analysts, and the baseball world, the Pittsburgh Pirates are showing signs of being a serious threat in the NL Central. Coming off a day off after playing 17 straight games, the rested Pirates have Johan Oviedo on the mound, who has the potential to be one of the most exciting arms in the game. Oviedo boasts a 2.22 ERA and a 2.75 xERA after 4 starts against tough opponents like the Red Sox, White Sox, Cardinals, and Rockies. With an above-average strikeout rate, a below-average walk rate, and rare barreled hits, Oviedo is a pitcher worth backing. Plus, he relies heavily on his sweeping slider, a pitch that has troubled the Dodgers’ offense in the past. With Max Muncy out of the lineup for the Dodgers, the Pirates have a good chance to capitalize on the first five innings, where they have been strong, and take the win.

MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays F5 -0.5 (-118) over Houston Astros

The Tampa Bay Rays have been dominant in the first half of games, especially at home, where they have a 12-2 record on the run line. With the top-ranked offense in runs per game in the first five innings and one of the stingiest defenses, the Rays are a formidable force. Adding to their advantage is Drew Rasmussen, who has been lights out at home since being acquired from the Rays last season. Rasmussen’s stats show that he performs significantly better at the Trop, and his best outing this season was at home. On the other hand, the Astros’ pitcher, Luis Garcia, has been mediocre with a 5.14 ERA and a 4.68 xERA. His reliance on fastballs plays into the Rays’ strengths, as they excel against right-handed pitching and have hitters who perform well against fastballs. With the pitching and hitting advantage, the Rays are likely to come out on top in the first five innings.

MLB Pick: Chicago Cubs F5 Money Line (-108) over San Diego Padres

The Chicago Cubs have been successful against left-handed starters, with a 5-2 record and solid rankings in batting average, on-base percentage, and wRC+ against southpaws. In their last 2 games against left-handed starters, the Cubs have won both in the first five innings, even against tough pitchers like Julio Urias and Clayton Kershaw. 

As for the Cubs’ pitching, they’ll send Adbert Alzolay to the mound, who has been impressive in his young career. Alzolay has a 3.18 ERA with a 3.33 xERA in his four starts this season, and he’s shown the ability to miss bats with a 26.4% strikeout rate. He has a diverse pitch mix, including a sharp slider and a deceptive changeup, which can keep the Padres’ hitters off balance.

The Padres, on the other hand, will have Blake Snell on the mound, who has struggled to find his rhythm this season. Snell has a disappointing 6.00 ERA and a 6.86 xERA, and his command has been inconsistent with a high walk rate.  Cubs are facing a below-average southpaw in Blake Snell, tonight whose control has been a weakness, which the Cubs can take advantage of. The Cubs’ right-handed heavy lineup, led by Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, and Javier Baez, could take advantage of Snell’s struggles and put runs on the board early.

We expect the Cubs to exploit the matchup and win with a favorable money line, the Cubs are a solid bet in the first five innings. So I am backing the Cubs to come out on top in the first five innings against the Padres.

MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks F5 -0.5 (+100) over Kansas City Royals

The Arizona Diamondbacks are looking like a strong bet in the first five innings against the Kansas City Royals. Royals’ pitcher Brady Singer has struggled mightily this season, with an 8.14 ERA and an 8.60 xERA in just four starts. He ranks in the bottom percentile in several advanced metrics, including hard-hit rate, average exit velocity, and xSLG. In his last 16 innings, Singer has allowed 18 runs, 24 hits, and 5 home runs. This makes him a prime target for the Diamondbacks in the early part of the game, as the Royals have lost by 4 and 5 runs after five innings in Singer’s last two starts. Additionally, the Diamondbacks’ bullpen has been shaky lately, which further supports the focus on the first five innings.

On the other hand, the Diamondbacks will have Ryne Nelson on the mound, a promising young pitcher with a high-velocity fastball and an intriguing over-the-top release. Despite a less-than-stellar 4.91 ERA, Nelson’s xERA sits at a more respectable 3.68, indicating that he may have experienced some bad luck. He ranks above average in xBA, xSLG, and sweet spot rate, which bodes well for a potential bounce-back performance against a struggling Royals’ lineup.

Moreover, the Royals’ lineup ranks 30th in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS against right-handed pitchers, which could play in Nelson’s favor. The Diamondbacks have also been impressive in the first five innings at home, going 9-1 on the run line in their last 10 games, while the Royals have struggled, going 1-9 on the run line in their last 10. Taking into account these trends and the Diamondbacks’ overall performance, it seems like a solid bet to back the Diamondbacks at F5 -0.5 (+100) against the Royals.

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