MLB Best Bet Today 08-25-23: Top Picks of the Day, Prop, NRFI & YRFI Selections

Welcome to Today’s MLB Slate this Friday, as we gear up for a full lineup of 15 exciting MLB matchups. The Bet Club is all set to wrap up the workweek on a strong note and kick off an action-packed weekend of baseball success. Keep an eye out for the Dodgers vs. Red Sox clash at 7:10 pm ET and the Royals vs. Mariners showdown at 10:10 pm ET, both airing on Apple TV+. Explore our MLB predictions for a comprehensive preview of today’s games.

Best MLB Bets Today

MLB Bet_LA Dodgers @ BOS Red Sox Over 10.0 (-115)

As highlighted in the money-line write-up, Lance Lynn still needs to prove himself, considering his season ERA remains at 5.60. While Lynn has shown improvement with the Dodgers, his earlier struggles in Chicago shouldn’t be forgotten. Months with ERAs of 5.97 or higher and giving up 4 or more earned runs in 13 out of 21 starts, including 28 home runs, underscore his inconsistency. Even with the Dodgers, Lynn has conceded 4 home runs in 25.0 innings, averaging 2 home runs per 9 innings—a career-high rate.

Pitching for the Dodgers, Kutter Crawford may look decent on paper, but he’s up against one of the league’s hottest lineups in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park. The Dodgers’ 19-3 record this month speaks volumes, as they’ve scored 6 or more runs in 12 of those 22 games. Additionally, Crawford hasn’t fared as well at home as he has on the road. With a 5.95 ERA in 11 home appearances compared to a 2.06 ERA in away games, Crawford’s performance raises questions. With the starting pitchers’ outlook uncertain, this game seems poised for a high-scoring affair.

NRFI & YRFI MLB Picks Today

If you’re a fan of quick results in your baseball bets, the YRFI/NRFI market is tailored for you. Devote just 10 to 15 minutes to watch the opening inning and forget about the rest! With all 30 teams in action today, spanning from Detroit to San Francisco, let’s delve into the picks. Don’t miss our MLB predictions for every game on the schedule.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: NRFI (-136)

Amid a dismal stretch with 10 losses in their last 11 games, the New York Yankees find themselves 5 games below .500 and 10 games behind the Houston Astros in the AL wild-card race. A swift change in fortune since August 3, when they were merely 2.5 games out of the wild card, underscores how rapidly things shift in MLB. On the flip side, the consistent performance of the Tampa Bay Rays stands out, as they boast a 6-game lead in the AL wild-card race and trail the Baltimore Orioles by just 2 games in the AL East.

Key to the Rays’ success is their starter, Zach Eflin, who is having a career year since his move to Florida. With a 3.58 ERA, 3.00 xERA, and 1.03 WHIP across 24 starts, Eflin’s contributions have been pivotal. Notably, he shut out the Yankees for 6 innings earlier this month on a mere 72 pitches. Eflin’s prowess sets the stage for a scoreless first inning. Meanwhile, Gerrit Cole, another standout pitcher, enters with a 3.03 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. His effective first-inning play, with a 3.12 ERA and a .177 opposing batting average, further supports an NRFI pick.

MLB Bet_San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: NRFI (-128)

The San Diego Padres boast the MLB’s second-best starting pitching ERA at 3.72, and veteran Yu Darvish adds to their formidable rotation. Darvish’s 2.90 ERA in his last 5 outings complements his overall 4.35 ERA through 23 starts. Darvish’s dominant performance against the Brewers earlier this season, tossing 7.0 innings of 1-run ball with 12 strikeouts, demonstrates his capability. His streak of not allowing a first-inning run in 13 consecutive outings further strengthens the NRFI case.

Matching up against Darvish is the Brewers’ Brandon Woodruff, an NL top-tier starter. While his early season was marred by injury, Woodruff has rebounded with a 2.89 ERA and 2.77 xERA, coupled with a 28.3% strikeout rate. Although he’s allowed a higher rate of home runs recently, a regression to the mean is expected. Both starters’ prowess sets the stage for a scoreless first inning in this matchup.

Best MLB Player Prop Bets Today

Embrace the ongoing excitement of baseball with a full slate of 15 MLB games this Friday, kicking off at 6:40 ET. Our focus zeroes in on Cody Bellinger, one of the MLB’s top hitters this season, in our top MLB player prop bet of the day. Be sure to explore our comprehensive MLB predictions for insights on all the day’s matchups.

MLB Bet: Cody Bellinger (CHC) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130)

Cody Bellinger has rekindled his brilliance, impressing since his move to Chicago. Ranking in the top 5 for batting average and on-base plus slugging percentage, Bellinger has been a force to reckon with. Excelling against right-handed pitchers, Bellinger maintained a .397 batting average in July and sustained his momentum.

Facing all-star Mitch Keller of the Pittsburgh Pirates, Bellinger is set to capitalize. Keller’s vulnerability against left-handed hitters aligns well with Bellinger’s strengths. Given the favorable matchups of other batters against Keller, Bellinger is likely to find ample opportunities, having an RBI in 5 of his last 6 games. The presence of wind blowing out by the first pitch adds to the potential for a home run from Bellinger.

MLB Bet: Framber Valdez (HOU) Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (-125)

The Detroit Tigers stand as one of the weakest teams against left-handed pitching, ranking poorly in batting average, slugging, and wRC+ against LHP. In August, their struggles persist, hitting at .198 and experiencing high strikeout rates. This provides an ideal setup for Framber Valdez, who seeks a rebound following recent performances.

After a disappointing outing for the Astros against the Boston Red Sox, where they conceded 17 runs, Valdez’s performance becomes pivotal. With his 53% ground-ball rate, Valdez can efficiently navigate the Tigers’ lineup, which ranks in the top 15 for ground-ball percentage against LHP. While the projection for Valdez’s deep innings influences the line, his capability to rebound against a struggling Tigers lineup makes this MLB player prop a strong contender.

Lines available at Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

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