MLB Best Bets for Today – Expert Picks (09-05-2023)


Full Slate of MLB Action

Tuesday’s MLB schedule boasts a full slate of compelling matchups, featuring a showdown in the AL West between the Astros and Rangers, and a pivotal series in the AL Central with the Twins taking on the Guardians at 6:40 pm ET. Dive into today’s MLB predictions.

Best MLB Bet of the Day (09-05-23)

MLB: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: NRFI (-120)

7:05 pm ET

In a rematch from last week, I’m sticking with the NRFI (No Run in the First Inning) pick for this game in New York. The Yankees’ offense has struggled throughout the season, and while they may have Aaron Judge back in the lineup, it shouldn’t rattle Alex Faedo. Faedo has been solid since the all-star break, lowering his ERA by over 2 points since July 23, conceding only 8 earned runs in 26 innings pitched.

On the flip side, Gerrit Cole has had an excellent season for the Yankees, and he should relish this matchup as an opportunity to shine once again. Check out today’s YRFI/NRFI best bets for more action.

MLB YRFI & NRFI Best Bet Picks Today – Expert on a 28-10 Run!

With numerous MLB games each day, one of the quickest bets is whether a run will be scored in the first inning (YRFI/NRFI). This market has gained popularity over time, and I’m currently on a hot streak with a 28-10 record on my YRFI/NRFI plays. Let’s keep the momentum going! Don’t forget to explore our MLB picks for all of today’s matchups.

MLB Pick_ Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: NRFI (-110)

For my first pick on Tuesday’s slate, I’m targeting the NRFI in the AL East clash between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays. Zach Eflin, an underrated pitcher this season, takes the mound for the Rays. Eflin boasts a stellar 3.04 xERA and impressive walk percentage and chase rate, making him a formidable opponent for hitters.

Kutter Crawford opposes Eflin, and he also has strong advanced metrics with an xERA of 3.53. Despite a recent subpar outing against the Astros, I believe there’s value in this NRFI pick, given the pitching talent and the potential for a swift start to the game.

MLB Pick_Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: NRFI (-120)

As mentioned earlier, I’m returning to the NRFI pick for this rematch between the Tigers and Yankees. The Yankees’ offense has struggled all season, and Alex Faedo, the Tigers’ starter, has shown resilience since the all-star break. Faedo’s improved performance should serve him well against the Yankees.

On the other side, Gerrit Cole has been outstanding for the Yankees this season, and he’s likely to continue his strong form in this matchup. Expect a game largely dictated by the starting pitchers, resulting in a swift opening frame.

Best MLB Prop Bets for Today: Astros Offense Continues to Roll

With just a month left in the MLB regular season, divisional and wild-card races are heating up. In particular, the AL West features tight competition between the Mariners, Astros, and Rangers. Houston and Texas face off, and the Astros’ offense is in focus.

Don’t forget to explore our MLB predictions for today’s games, our MLB parlay, and YRFI/NRFI best bets. Let’s dig in!

MLB Pick: Houston Astros Team Total Over 4 (-133)

The Astros’ offense has been firing on all cylinders, scoring 13 runs in yesterday’s game against the Rangers. Nathan Eovaldi returns for the Rangers after a lengthy absence due to injury. While Eovaldi possesses nasty stuff when healthy, he’s susceptible to home runs and hard contact. The Astros have a strong track record against Eovaldi, boasting a .293/.355/.564 slash line with 9 home runs in previous matchups. Eovaldi’s recent lack of game action could also work in the Astros’ favor.

If Eovaldi struggles to go deep into the game, it could put additional pressure on the Rangers’ bullpen, which has had its share of issues. Even when rested, the bullpen’s performance hasn’t been stellar. In the last 30 days, they rank 24th in ERA, and their 6.07 FIP is the worst in MLB. With all 9 innings to bat, the Astros are poised to score at least 5 runs in this game.

MLB Pick: Dean Kremer (Orioles) 5+ Strikeouts / Orioles Team Total Over 2.5 (-110)

Dean Kremer, despite not being a usual strikeout target, has been consistent in recording 5 or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 18 starts. He faces the Los Angeles Angels, a team with a high K% against right-handed pitching. The Angels’ plate discipline has been lacking, ranking 29th in chase rate and struggling with contact skills.

As for the Orioles’ offense, they’ve performed well against left-handed pitching since the All-Star break. Facing Reid Detmers, who has struggled in his last 10 starts, the Orioles are likely to capitalize on their hitting prowess. If Detmers exits early, the Angels’ bullpen, ranked poorly in recent performance, could further benefit the Orioles’ run production. Look for Kremer to rack up strikeouts and the Orioles to exceed 2.5 runs in this matchup.

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