MLB Picks and Parlay 08-23-23: +809 Odds

Get ready for another thrilling Wednesday of MLB action with multiple series carrying significant wild card implications. From Pittsburgh to Houston, a lineup of exciting games awaits us, and for today’s picks and parlay, we’re diving into matchups that are crucial for playoff positioning.

MLB Picks and Parlay

Let’s break down this enticing FanDuel parlay offering odds at +809, and make sure to read on for a comprehensive analysis of each individual leg.

Don’t miss out on our best bet MLB picks for today’s slate.

MLB Picks: Phillies Complete the Sweep and Remain Atop the NL Wild Card (-132)

The Phillies are on a roll after a dominant 10-4 victory on Monday and a dramatic 2-run walk-off single from Trea Turner in their last outing. Their sights are now set on achieving a clean sweep, extending their lead in the NL Wild Card standings by 3.5 games. On the mound for the Phillies is Michael Lorenzen, who has been exceptional since his acquisition at the trade deadline. Lorenzen’s first two appearances were remarkable, including a no-hitter, giving up only 2 earned runs in a combined 17.0 innings. Although his recent start wasn’t as impressive, with 6 earned runs in 3.1 innings, Lorenzen’s overall efficiency remains strong.

The Giants counter with right-hander Alex Cobb, whose 3.75 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 23 starts are respectable but come with recent struggles. Over his last 4 outings, Cobb has posted a 7.59 ERA and conceded 28 hits in 21.1 innings. Digging into his underlying metrics, Cobb’s xBA, hard-hit rate, and whiff percentage are concerning, and his 4.76 xERA points to potential regression. Additionally, the Giants have shown some defensive lapses in this series, committing 3 errors in the first game. Riding the wave of momentum, I’m backing the Phillies to secure the series sweep.

MLB Picks: Reds Aim to Continue Their Winning Ways (+144)

The Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Angels, with matching records of 65-61, are in a similar position with their postseason hopes hanging by a thread. While both teams are currently out of the playoff picture, the Reds are only half a game behind in the NL Wild Card race, while the Angels trail by 10 games in the AL. With a double-header on the schedule, I’m focusing on game 1, featuring rookie left-hander Andrew Abbott against the formidable Shohei Ohtani.

Ohtani’s value as a dual-threat player is undeniable, yet his pitching performance is closely matched by Abbott’s. Abbott holds an 8-3 record with a 2.99 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, while Ohtani stands at 10-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. The Reds boast more consistent offensive production this season, with both teams facing August struggles. Given their recent form, I’m taking the Reds to come out on top in game 1 of the double-header.

MLB Picks: Marlins Set to Continue Their Push for the Postseason (+112)

The final leg of this mega parlay takes us to San Diego, where the Marlins are locked in a heated race for the NL Wild Card spot. As part of a six-team scramble, the Marlins are just one game away from securing the final wild card berth. On the other hand, the Padres find themselves 6 games behind in the race and facing an uphill battle. In this contest, reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Sandy Alcantara takes the mound for the Marlins.

Alcantara experienced a slow start to the season but has shown glimpses of his 2022 form over the past two months. With a tale of two halves, Alcantara has recorded a 5.08 ERA in his first 15 starts and a stellar 2.75 ERA over his subsequent 10 outings. Facing off against Seth Lugo, the Marlins hold the pitching advantage. Lugo’s 3.92 ERA in 19 appearances comes with a high hard-hit rate, while his 24.0% strikeout rate is below his career average. Coupled with the Padres’ underwhelming performance at the plate, I’m banking on the Marlins to extend their postseason aspirations.

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