MLB Picks and Predictions for September 26, 2023


As the regular MLB season draws to a close, the playoff race intensifies, promising a thrilling week of baseball action. With the Orioles and Rays vying for the AL East crown and multiple teams competing for NL wild-card spots, there’s plenty at stake. Let’s dive into today’s MLB picks and predictions to help you navigate the excitement of the game.

MLB Best Bet of the Day

Best Bet MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML (-130) vs. Boston Red Sox

The MLB regular season’s end is in sight, and the Rays find themselves in a crucial position, poised for the playoffs. Whether they secure the AL East title or a wild-card spot remains uncertain, but they’ll be playing meaningful baseball. After leading the division for most of the season, they’re now chasing the Orioles. Facing the Red Sox, who have essentially waved the white flag on this season, the Rays have a chance to apply pressure.

Taking the mound for the Rays is the durable and ace-like Zach Eflin, who boasts a 3.44 ERA and a 3.01 xERA after 30 starts. In recent months, Eflin has been even more impressive, with a 3.71 ERA and a .218 xBA in the second half of the season. In September alone, he has maintained a 3.68 ERA with a 35% strikeout rate.

On the other side, the Red Sox have struggled, especially since rookie sensation Triston Casas hit the injured list. In nine games without Casas, they rank near the bottom in various offensive categories. Tanner Houck, Boston’s pitcher for the game, has struggled at Fenway Park this season, posting a 5.08 ERA and struggling to pitch effectively for more than three innings.

Expect the Rays to continue their march towards the postseason with Eflin on the mound against a struggling Red Sox lineup. This is a 1.5-unit play.

YRFI/NRFI Best MLB Bets: Tampa Bay’s YRFI Trend

As the 2023 MLB regular season enters its final week, the focus turns to quick-fire betting opportunities in the YRFI/NRFI market. This first-inning bet provides immediate satisfaction or disappointment, depending on the outcome.

MLB Bet_New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: NRFI (-140)

In this matchup, the NRFI bet is attractive due to the pitching duel. Kevin Gausman, with his 3.29 ERA, including a 3.18 mark in September, takes the mound for Toronto. He recently pitched a shutout with 10 strikeouts against the Yankees.

Opposing him is Michael King, who has been in excellent form with a 1.66 ERA in September. In a previous encounter with Gausman, King allowed only 1 run in 7.0 innings while striking out 13 batters.

Considering the quality of these pitchers and the lackluster offensive performance from both teams, NRFI is a solid bet.

MLB Bet_Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: YRFI (-104)

The Tampa Bay Rays have been consistently scoring in the first inning, making them an excellent choice for a YRFI bet. Facing Tanner Houck, who has a 4.92 ERA, the Rays have a good chance to continue this trend. Houck has struggled to contain opposing hitters.

While Zach Eflin has been solid for the Rays, he has had some difficulties against the Red Sox lineup. Rafael Devers, Justin Turner, and Adam Duvall have had success against him. This suggests that both teams have a chance to score early in this game.

Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Today

MLB Bet: Justin Steele (CHC) over 5.5 hits allowed (-120)

Justin Steele, a talented left-handed pitcher for the Chicago Cubs, faces the formidable Atlanta Braves lineup. While Steele is an impressive pitcher, the Braves’ offense has been exceptional this season. Steele allowed 8 hits in a previous matchup with them, highlighting his vulnerability against this lineup.

The Braves have consistently recorded 6 or more hits against left-handed starters, making this prop bet appealing.

MLB Bet: Seth Lugo (SD) over 16.5 outs recorded (-125)

Seth Lugo, a converted reliever now starting for the San Diego Padres, has been reliable this season. He has reached a career-high workload and has consistently recorded 6 or more innings of work in recent starts. Lugo’s pitches are difficult to sit on, and his array of offerings gives him an edge.

Facing the San Francisco Giants, who have struggled offensively, Lugo is expected to record a high number of outs in this game.

MLB Tuesday Parlay at +1048 Odds

As we near the end of the MLB regular season, a packed slate of 16 games awaits, offering enticing parlay opportunities. This parlay consists of two favorites on the run line and an underdog with playoff aspirations.

Parlay Picks:

  • Phillies -1.5 (+132)
  • Rays -1.5 (+125)
  • Cubs ML (+120)

With the Phillies aiming for a postseason berth, they are favored to win against the Pirates. The Rays, despite missing some starters, are still expected to beat the struggling Red Sox on the run line. Finally, the Cubs, fighting for a wild-card spot, have the pitching advantage against the Braves.

If all goes according to plan, this parlay could yield a generous payout at +1048 odds.

Be sure to check out our comprehensive MLB predictions for additional insights into today’s matchups. Enjoy the thrilling action on the diamond!


This is just my opinion. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling is risky and should only be done with money you can afford to lose.

Please note that odds and availability may change, and it’s important to gamble responsibly. Note: All bets should be made responsibly. The opinions and predictions provided are based on available data and are intended to enhance your understanding and enjoyment of sports betting. The decision to place bets or refrain from betting is solely the responsibility of the bettor. If you experience issues with gambling, please seek assistance.

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