MLB Picks for Same Game Parlay 10-15-23: Rangers vs Astros – Yordan Shines at +500 Odds


The anticipation for an MLB Sunday hits another level with this Game 1 Picks and Parlay of the ALCS! The Texas Rangers, determined to preserve their undefeated postseason record, venture to Houston to take on the reigning champion Astros. A meticulous analysis of tonight’s showdown has led to the creation of a 3-leg parlay, offering a tantalizing 5/1 payout on Sportsbook. Let’s dive into each element of this Same Game Parlay before the AL West rivalry unfolds.

MLB Pick 1: NRFI Bet (-108)

The Texas Rangers have been flawless with a 5-0 record through the initial two postseason rounds. However, tonight, they face the legendary Justin Verlander in a challenging Houston environment. In his second stint with the Astros, Verlander aims for another World Series appearance, providing an immediate lift to the starting rotation since rejoining the Astros in August. Across 11 regular-season starts with Houston, the 40-year-old possesses an impressive 3.31 ERA. Verlander’s dominant performance includes a 6.0-inning shutout against the Minnesota Twins in Game 1 of the ALDS. Despite the Rangers boasting one of the season’s finest lineups, Verlander has previously thwarted their efforts, allowing only 1 earned run over 7.0 innings, with Marcus Semien’s leadoff homer marking the sole blemish on September 6.

The Rangers counter with left-hander Jordan Montgomery, whose statistics may not turn heads but clearly reflect his productivity. In 32 starts, shared between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Rangers, Montgomery maintained an impressive 3.20 ERA. He strives to rebound after a challenging performance against the Baltimore Orioles, where he allowed 4 earned runs across 4.0 innings during Game 2 of the ALDS. Preceding that start, Montgomery impressively put together a sequence of five consecutive outings, each spanning at least 6.0 innings while permitting no more than 1 earned run. Montgomery may not overwhelm the potent Houston lineup, but his capabilities in metrics such as chase rate, walk rate, hard-hit rate, and ground-ball rate, along with a diverse pitch selection encompassing a sinker, changeup, and curveball, augur well for an NRFI (No Run in First Inning) bet in the first inning in Houston tonight.

MLB Pick 2: Prop Bet Yordan Alvarez 2+ Total Bases (-110)

Selecting Yordan Alvarez to achieve 2+ total bases tonight stems from a straightforward rationale: he has been the most dominant hitter during this postseason, a notion substantiated by his season-long performance. In the ALDS, spanning four games, Alvarez produced staggering numbers, boasting a slash line of .438/.471/1.313, which included 4 home runs, 2 doubles, and 6 RBIs. Alvarez’s scintillating form raises questions as to whether the Rangers might intentionally avoid pitching to him. Furthermore, during the regular season, Alvarez’s stats against right-handed and left-handed pitching remain largely consistent. Against left-handers, Alvarez maintains an impressive .295/.385/.507 line. In contrast, Jordan Montgomery’s statistics reveal that he struggles more against left-handed batters than right-handers. In 106 plate appearances, left-handed hitters registered a .277 batting average against Montgomery, creating potential challenges when facing Alvarez.

MLB Pick 3: Prop Bet Marcus Semien to Record a Hit (-250)

The final piece of the parlay puzzle centers on Marcus Semien, the Rangers’ leadoff hitter. Although Semien endured a sluggish start to the postseason, with a .174 batting average following a 4-for-23 start, he exhibited flashes of brilliance by spreading his hits across three of the Rangers’ five playoff games. Notably, his last two outings in the ALDS were his most compelling, resulting in a 3-for-9 performance with a double and no strikeouts. Beyond this promising regression to the mean, Semien has a remarkable track record against Justin Verlander throughout his career. In 43 career at-bats against Verlander, Semien boasts a .326 batting average and a .535 slugging percentage. Intriguingly, despite this substantial sample size, Verlander has not issued a single walk to Semien. With the Rangers on the road, Semien is expected to have ample opportunities, offering a reliable addition to the parlay. The culmination of these three elements culminates in an enticing 5/1 payout for our Same Game Parlay.

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