MLB Same Game Parlay Picks 10-17-23: D’Backs vs Phillies

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Welcome to The Bet Club on this fine Tuesday 10-17-23, for our complimentary MLB Picks and Same Game Parlay report. The Philadelphia Phillies are sizzling hot in this Red October, claiming Game 1 with a 5-3 victory, where they slugged three home runs to hand the Diamondbacks their first loss of this MLB postseason. We don’t have to wait long for Game 2, as the series continues tonight.

MLB Picks and Same Game Parlay for the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies

Get our Bet Club expert Same Game Parlay for the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies MLB matchup today on Tuesday 10-17-23, offering a healthy payout exceeding 5/1 odds at KasinoBets.com Sportsbook. We hit the mark with our SGP last night, so let’s aim for back-to-back successes!

NRFI (-113)

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+128)

Bryce Harper to record a hit (-200)

Same Game Parlay Odds +532

MLB Parlay Analysis for Our Picks

MLB Pick Selection 1: First Inning Without Runs (-113)

In this series, we’re blessed with an abundance of stellar pitching. Game 2 of the NLCS sets up another thrilling duel between Merrill Kelly and Aaron Nola. Although Game 1 showcased the star pitchers of both teams, Kelly and Nola are no less exceptional; they’re akin to sidekicks who possess remarkable talent. Kelly ended the regular season on a high note, boasting a 3.22 ERA with 40 strikeouts over 36.2 innings in September. He saved his best for last, delivering an outstanding performance in the Divisional round.

Facing a potent Phillies lineup in Philadelphia, Kelly stands a great chance of securing a scoreless first inning. Throughout the regular season, he held batters to a .213 batting average with a 29.6% strikeout rate in the opening inning. Notably, in his last 13 starts, he allowed a first-frame run on just three occasions.

Aaron Nola’s regular season was marked by inconsistency, leaving Phillies fans perplexed with occasional off-days. However, the postseason has witnessed Nola at his prime. In the Wild Card round against the Marlins and the Divisional round against the Braves, he allowed a mere 2 earned runs and 9 hits, accompanied by 12 strikeouts in 12.2 innings. Nola’s prowess in the opening inning is evident since Opening Day, limiting hitters to a .197 batting average with a 35% strikeout rate. Moreover, he has not allowed a first-inning run in 12 of his last 14 starts. Anticipate a slow start in Philadelphia for Tuesday night.

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MLB Pick Selection 2: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks (+128)

Judging by last night’s series opener’s score, it might appear as a close game with the Phillies winning by only two runs. However, if you tuned in, you’d know the Diamondbacks were never in contention. Philadelphia initiated the game with two home runs in the first inning, establishing an early lead. They continued their power display, ultimately tallying three home runs throughout the game. Unfortunately for the Phillies, all three homers were solo shots. Despite this, they continued to hammer Zac Gallen, taking control of the game after their ace was replaced. The Diamondbacks managed to scrape together a few runs through a 345-foot home run and a sacrifice fly. In the end, they mustered just four hits against Zack Wheeler and the Phillies bullpen.

For Game 2 at Citizens Bank Park, the pitching matchup promises to be excellent. However, if the Phillies could exploit Gallen and disrupt the ace of the Diamondbacks’ staff, it doesn’t instill much confidence in Kelly. Kelly relies on his fastball for roughly 30% of his pitches, primarily using it when he’s behind or ahead in the count. Given last night’s strategy of attacking Gallen’s fastball early in the count, it’s plausible that the Phillies will adopt a similar approach tonight. Additionally, the Phillies hold a perfect 5-0 record straight up and on the run line at home in the postseason.

Also, don’t miss our 3-star best bet in our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies predictions.

MLB Pick Selection 3: Bryce Harper to Record a Hit (-200)

It comes as no surprise that Bryce Harper is perhaps the hottest hitter in the postseason at the moment. In seven games, the Phillies’ icon boasts a .409 batting average, a .567 on-base percentage, and a colossal 1.522 OPS. Harper has secured a hit in six of the seven postseason games, with the lone exception being Game 2 of the Wild Card series against the Marlins. However, it’s essential to note that his walks in that game weren’t entirely his doing; he walked twice and received one intentional walk. To further exemplify his prowess, Harper began his birthday game last night with a home run, concluding the game 2-for-3 with a walk, bringing his total to 5 hits in his last 12 at-bats.

In his career matchups against Kelly, Harper stands at 1-for-5 (.200) with an 11.1% whiff rate. Yet, delving deeper into advanced metrics, the lefty slugger boasts a .521 xBA, a 1.078 xSLG, and an average exit velocity of 96.2 MPH. These metrics suggest that Harper has faced some misfortune in his at-bats against Kelly, and a few of his well-hit balls should have found gaps in the defense. Coupled with his historical performance against Kelly and his current postseason form, it’s a sound bet to expect Harper to record a hit in tonight’s game.

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