MLB Best Bets for Sunday 10-15-23: Props, YRFI & NRFI Picks


Welcome to The Bet Club for MLB Sunday excitement unfolds for the postseason baseball . This adds to the thrill, and today marks the beginning of the ALCS featuring the reigning champions, the Houston Astros, and the visiting Texas Rangers. Let’s jump right into the best betting action and don’t forget to check our MLB picks for the side and total.

Quick Wins with YRFI/NRFI MLB Market on ALCS Kickoff

For those who prefer not to wait through an entire baseball game for their bet to play out, the YRFI/NRFI (Yes Run in First Inning/No Run in First Inning) market is an ideal choice.

MLB Pick_Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: NRFI (-110)

The Texas Rangers boast a perfect 5-0 record through the first two rounds of this postseason. However, today, they face future Hall of Famer Justin Verlander in a hostile Houston environment. Verlander, in his second stint with the Astros, is set on another World Series appearance and has rejuvenated the starting rotation since rejoining the Stros in August. In his 11 regular-season starts with Houston, the 40-year-old veteran has maintained a 3.31 ERA and pitched a 6.0-inning shutout against the Minnesota Twins in Game 1 of the ALDS. While the Rangers have showcased one of the best lineups in baseball this season, Verlander previously found success against them, allowing just 1 earned run over 7.0 innings with the sole run coming from a leadoff homer by Marcus Semien on September 6.

The Rangers counter with left-hander Jordan Montgomery, who may not possess eye-popping stats but has proven his effectiveness. In 32 starts with the St. Louis Cardinals and the Rangers, Montgomery recorded a 3.20 ERA. He aims to bounce back after yielding 4 earned runs over 4.0 innings to the Baltimore Orioles in Game 2 of the ALDS. Before that start, Montgomery had an impressive streak of five consecutive outings, each spanning at least 6.0 innings and allowing no more than 1 earned run. While Montgomery may not overpower the Houston lineup, he excels in key metrics, including chase rate, walk rate, hard-hit rate, and ground-ball rate, utilizing a diverse pitch selection featuring a sinker, changeup, and curveball. All things considered, the NRFI bet in the first inning in Houston tonight appears promising.

Best MLB Player Prop Bet Today: Jordan Montgomery’s Success in Game 1

Sunday’s MLB playoff schedule features just one game, but it’s an enticing matchup. Two in-state division rivals will battle for a chance to take a 1-0 series lead. While you can explore our MLB predictions for the Rangers vs. Astros game, let’s dive into the best MLB player prop bets for Sunday, October 15.

MLB Pick_Jordan Montgomery, TEX, Under 1.5 walks (-105)

Jordan Montgomery has been impressive in this postseason, particularly in his first start, where he delivered 7 innings of shutout baseball without surrendering a single walk. In his subsequent outing against the Baltimore Orioles, Montgomery struggled, conceding 9 hits, marking the second-highest total he’s given up this season. He nearly reached 30 pitches in the first inning, leading to his removal after just 4 innings. When facing the Houston Astros tonight, we anticipate Montgomery will work to minimize baserunners via walks.

Short leashes for starting pitchers have been common this postseason, and we anticipate a similar approach here. Montgomery’s outs line is set at just 14.5 with a higher payout for the over. If he doesn’t have his A-game, Montgomery is likely to be pulled quickly, placing the ball in the hands of the Rangers’ bullpen, which has maintained a 2.16 ERA during this postseason.

From a BB% (walk percentage) perspective, Montgomery has been consistently impressive throughout the season, ranking in the 82nd percentile for BB%. He stayed under the specified line in 20 of his 34 starts. Although the Astros field a lineup of potent hitters capable of working counts, Montgomery managed to remain under this line in his only start against them this season, a record that extends to his performance against the top of their order. Notably, Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yordan Alvarez, and Kyle Tucker have just 1 walk in a combined 35 at-bats against him.

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