NASCAR Crayon 301: The Magic Mile 2023 Best Bet Picks

Welcome to The Bet Club and our NASCAR edition, which this week heads to the Northeast for the Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. The “Magic Mile” track is known for its intriguing racing and unique trophy, which includes a live lobster. Just like the claws of a lobster, this track can be unforgiving and pinch drivers and teams in a hurry. In this article, we’ll dive into what to expect this weekend, the new package and wet weather tires, and our predictions for the Crayon 301. Additionally, we’ll explore the best prop bets for the upcoming race.

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Track Layout

New Hampshire Motor Speedway is a 1-mile oval track, the only one of its kind in the Northeast where NASCAR’s highest level races. The track’s layout resembles an elongated version of Martinsville’s straightaways with slightly widened corners. It is a flat track, even flatter than Martinsville, making passing a challenge that often involves creative maneuvers or some bumping and grinding. Despite its tightness, drivers have shown the ability to move up and secure wins, top-fives, and top-10s in recent years. This year, the cars will run a slightly different package, including wet weather tires to prepare for the potential rain forecasted. Previous tracks with this package saw tight passing lines and the need for strategic planning to secure a place at the front of the pack.

NASCAR Crayon 301 Betting Strategies

Considering the track layout, the new package, and similar racing at other tracks, we can devise effective betting strategies. Firstly, we should favor drivers and teams that have consistently performed well on similar tracks since 2022. These teams with strong setups will have an edge over those that are still figuring things out, especially with limited practice time. Secondly, we should not be deterred from making prop bets based on practice or qualifying results. Past races at tracks like Richmond, Phoenix, Martinsville, and Gateway have shown plenty of passing opportunities, and pit strategies can significantly impact track positions. Additionally, we will be analyzing Green Flag Speed and Late Run Speed stats this week, as New Hampshire usually experiences fewer cautions. Drivers with superior speed throughout a run can make up ground and positions.

NASCAR Crayon 301 Winner Best Bets

  1. Martin Truex Jr. +650

Truex Jr. has emerged as a co-favorite for this race due to his exceptional record at this track. Over the last eight races at New Hampshire, he boasts an average finish of 5.5, despite not securing a win. Analyzing Green Flag Speed and Late Run Speed stats, Truex Jr. has had a faster car than Bell in several similar races, including the one Bell won last year. This slight edge makes Truex Jr. a top contender for victory on Sunday.

  1. Christopher Bell +650

Bell’s track record at New Hampshire is impressive, with five wins in six years across different series, including a Cup Series win here last year. Toyota’s strength on this style of track in the Next Gen car further boosts Bell’s chances to contend for the win.

  1. William Byron +1000

Despite his discounted odds, Byron has showcased impressive speed on shorter, flatter tracks this year, winning at Phoenix and delivering strong performances at Richmond and Gateway. His lack of career top-10 finishes at New Hampshire shouldn’t overshadow his form and potential for a top performance.

  1. Brad Keselowski +2000

Keselowski’s history at New Hampshire indicates his competence on this track, regardless of the team he’s racing for. With an average finish of 8.8 in the last eight races, including a P1 and P3 in two of the last three, Keselowski is well-positioned to compete for the win.

  1. Ryan Preece +6600

The Magic Mile has witnessed long-shot winners before, making Preece a candidate for a surprise win. Preece’s prowess on this type of track, as evident from his performances at Martinsville, Richmond, Phoenix, and Gateway, makes him an intriguing dark horse to watch.

NASCAR Crayon 301 Prop Best Bets

  1. Christopher Bell Top-5 Finish +110

Bell has consistently performed well at New Hampshire, finishing top-six at Richmond and Phoenix this year and securing a P2 and P1 in the last two Cup races at this track.

  1. Martin Truex Jr. +105 vs Christopher Bell

With similar car performances in recent similar races, taking the plus money return on Truex Jr. against Bell seems like a wise hedge bet.

  1. Kevin Harvick Top-5 Finish +140

Harvick has demonstrated success at similar tracks like Phoenix, Richmond, and Gateway, and has a good record at New Hampshire, making this prop bet appealing.

  1. Alex Bowman Top-10 Finish +175

Despite his injury, Bowman has shown strong finishes at tracks like Phoenix, Richmond, and Martinsville, making him a worthwhile bet for a top-10 finish at New Hampshire.

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