NBA Best Bets Today 2/14/2024: Expert Picks

Welcome to the Bet Club for Valentines Day clashes, there’s a large slate and we have a lot to love about these best bets, so let’s get straight to it.

NBA Best Bet New York Knicks v Orlando MagicMoney Line Pick: New York Knicks to Win (+120)

The New York Knicks have experienced a dip in enthusiasm following a string of losses, including their third consecutive defeat and fourth in five games. Their recent game against Houston stirred some controversy with a contentious late call favoring the home team. However, the Knicks must quickly shift their focus as they face a team that has already defeated them twice this season. Despite facing injuries, Jalen Brunson has been a standout performer, averaging an impressive 31.4 points per game over his last nine outings. The Knicks are expected to come out highly motivated following Monday’s game.

On the other hand, the Orlando Magic are facing the second night of a back-to-back and their final game before the break. Their recent loss to the Thunder indicates inconsistency, with four split results in their last four games. Additionally, their record in back-to-backs this season is less than stellar, with just two wins out of 10 such scenarios. Furthermore, their struggles against Atlantic Division opponents, highlighted by a 2-5 against-the-spread record in their last seven games, cast doubt on their favoritism by oddsmakers.

Despite the Knicks’ recent setbacks, I believe they will bounce back on Wednesday. Teams playing their second game in as many nights often face challenges, and the Magic have historically struggled to score in such situations, failing to surpass 102 points in six of their last 10 back-to-back games. Therefore, I am backing the New York Knicks on the money line.

The Knicks’ Money Line is available at +120 at the time of publishing and is considered playable at that number.

NBA Best Bet Point Spread Pick: Denver Nuggets -5.0 (-110)

The Denver Nuggets aim to bounce back from consecutive losses as they welcome the Sacramento Kings to Ball Arena on Wednesday night. Following disappointing blowout defeats to the Kings and Bucks, the reigning NBA champions are eager to regain their winning momentum before the all-star break. Playing on their home court at Ball Arena provides the Nuggets with a significant advantage, as they have triumphed in 21 of 25 home games this season. Leveraging the mile-high altitude, Denver employs a stifling defense that holds opponents to an average of just 111 points per game. Nikola Jokic has been exceptional, boasting averages of 26.3 points, 12.2 rebounds, and 9 assists per game. However, he will need ample support against Sacramento’s potent offense.

While the Kings secured a commanding victory over Denver by 29 points last Friday, they face a daunting task this time, playing their second game in less than 24 hours after a tough loss in Phoenix last night. Fatigue coupled with the challenging atmosphere of Ball Arena present significant hurdles for Sacramento. Thus, I recommend backing the Nuggets to secure both the win and cover the modest -5 point spread at home. Denver’s formidable defense, Jokic’s brilliance, and the altitude factor make them formidable opponents in Denver. Given the Kings’ likely struggle to maintain intensity after a quick turnaround, expect the Nuggets to capitalize on their home advantage and avenge their recent lopsided defeat, comfortably covering the -5 spread.

The Nuggets’ -5 spread is available at the time of publishing and is considered playable up to -6.5.

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