NBA Picks and Parlay 11-4-23: Expert bets today


After an eventful opening day of the In-Season Tournament on Friday, the NBA is back with an enticing 8-game lineup on Saturday. I successfully landed my fourth NBA parlay of the season last night, with my Knicks vs. Bucks Same Game Parlay cashing in at impressive +840 odds. Now, let’s strive to maintain the momentum with another thrilling picks and NBA parlay play today.

NBA Mega Parlay Odds: +935

While you can explore our NBA picks for predictions on every game featured in Saturday’s lineup, let’s dive right into the action.

NBA Pick: Orlando Magic ML (+140) vs. LA Lakers

We kick off this parlay with the Orlando Magic aiming to surprise the LA Lakers on their home court. These two teams meet for the second and final time this season, with the Lakers narrowly winning their recent clash by just three points. The Magic, following their impressive 115-113 road victory over Utah, are showing early-season promise with a 4-2 record. Paolo Banchero, who scored just 9 points against the Lakers earlier in the week, recently delivered a 30-point performance against the Jazz. We’ll need him to step up once again.

The Lakers’ victory in the previous encounter was propelled by D’Angelo Russell, who notched 28 points, including 14 crucial points in the final quarter. The Lakers are embarking on a four-game road trip, with extensive travel and a recent overtime game against the Clippers potentially taking its toll. The Magic have every reason to believe in an upset win, making them an attractive pick on the money line.

NBA Pick: Atlanta Hawks ML (+126) vs. New Orleans Pelicans

ESPN analytics heavily favor the Atlanta Hawks to secure victory in this matchup, with a 54.6% probability compared to the Pelicans’ 45.4%. The Hawks are currently on a three-game winning streak, during which they have posted impressive point totals of 127, 127, and 130 against the Bucks, Timberwolves, and Wizards, respectively. In recent seasons, the Hawks have dominated this matchup, going 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and winning seven of the last nine games against the Pelicans.

Under head coach Quin Snyder, the Hawks are playing at a rapid pace and rank second only to the Boston Celtics in scoring this season. The Pelicans might struggle to keep up, especially players like Zion Williamson, who are not ideally suited for high-paced games. Additionally, Brandon Ingram’s knee injury could result in his absence from the game. The Hawks, with favorable plus-odds, appear to be a solid choice to secure the win.

NBA Pick: Over 230.5 in Celtics vs. Nets (-110)

To conclude this parlay, we anticipate a high-scoring affair in the game between the Celtics and the Nets, with the total points surpassing 230.5. The Boston Celtics have been nothing short of exceptional offensively during the early portion of the season. They currently lead the league in offensive rating with a remarkable 124.8. The Celtics top the league in effective field-goal percentage, true shooting percentage, and boast an impressive net rating of 20.1.

When entering a game as the favorite, the over has prevailed in 13 of the last 20 Celtics matches. Oddsmakers have set the spread with the Celtics favored by 10 points. While not as impressive as the Celtics, the Nets have also made a strong start to the season offensively, ranking eighth in offensive rating. Their approach appears to have shifted compared to the previous season when they focused more on defense. Already, they have scored 120+ points in two out of their first five games.

In games played on Saturdays, the Nets have a 4-2 over/under record, which includes results from last year. With an abundance of offensive firepower on both rosters, our preference leans toward betting on the points in this matchup.

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