NCAAF College Football Picks and Same Game Parlay Week 2: Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide +556 Odds

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Welcome to The Bet Club and Week 2 of our college football season coverage. This week brings us one of the most eagerly anticipated non-conference games in years, as the Texas Longhorns journey to Tuscaloosa to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide. Alabama has had to endure the constant chatter about Georgia’s dominance throughout the summer, all while grappling with questions at the quarterback position. On the other side, the atmosphere is buzzing in Austin. Texas not only leads the odds to win the Big 12 but also boasts one of the nation’s deepest rosters on both sides of the ball. Both teams largely held their own in Week 1, but now we’ll find out if either of them is a serious contender for the College Football Playoff. This epic showdown kicks off at 7:00 pm ET and will be broadcast on ESPN.

NCAAF Football Same Game Parlay Picks: The Clash of Titans: Texas vs. Alabama in Tuscaloosa

Before we dive in, don’t forget to explore all our NCAAF content for Week 2. Let’s delve into our same-game parlay for the marquee matchup of the weekend.

Texas +7.5 (-115)
Over 53.5 (-115)
Jalen Milroe over 50.5 rushing yards (-114)
Parlay odds: +556

College Football Best Bet of the Day: Texas vs. Alabama Point Spread Pick Best Bet: Texas +7.5 (-110)

This game could potentially be one of the most pivotal of the entire season, promising a thrilling contest from start to finish. Alabama has had to contend with Georgia’s reign of dominance all summer while grappling with uncertainties at the quarterback position. In contrast, Austin is awash with optimism as Texas stands as the odds-on favorite to claim the Big 12 title, boasting one of the nation’s deepest rosters on both offense and defense. While both teams navigated their Week 1 matchups fairly well, this game will be the litmus test to gauge their aspirations for the College Football Playoff.

Early in the season, data to formulate predictions is often scarce. However, considering that these two teams clashed just last season, we have a foundation to build upon. Advanced statistics suggest that Texas prevailed in that game more often than not, with the Longhorns boasting a postgame win expectancy of 80%, as per College Football Data. That narrow defeat came against an Alabama team featuring Bryce Young at quarterback and an array of seasoned players in key positions. Now, with Quinn Ewers entering his second season and facing Jalen Milroe in his second career start, Texas seems to hold a distinct advantage at quarterback. While Alabama enjoys home-field advantage and boasts a renowned head coach, it’s worth noting that this is the first major game for both their new offensive and defensive coordinators. The Longhorns, on the other hand, possess considerable depth, experience, and returning talent on both sides of the field. I subscribe to the narrative that Texas is well-prepared for this challenge.

This game reminds me of last season’s Alabama vs. Tennessee showdown. In both games, a rising team that hadn’t yet garnered national recognition faced a slightly weaker Alabama squad compared to previous seasons in Nick Saban’s era. The talent gap between these teams is marginal, and last year’s contest underscored this fact. If the Longhorns can hold their ground in the trenches, there’s little reason to doubt their ability to secure an outright upset. For now, I’m content with taking the 7.5-point spread and would play this down to 7.

Note: Texas +7.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to 7.

Over 53.5 (-110)

Despite both teams boasting reliable defenses, the adjustment from last season’s game’s total is simply too significant to ignore. The closing total for that matchup was 64.5, and we’re now witnessing an 11+ point adjustment, partly due to the strength of these defenses and the presumed quarterback uncertainties at Alabama. However, oddsmakers may not be fully appreciating the game-changing potential possessed by both offenses.

Ewers has a formidable receiving corps at his disposal, facing an Alabama secondary that harbors some doubts. The Longhorns’ running game should consistently deliver results as well. Although I have reservations about Milroe’s downfield passing ability, I believe Saban and his team intentionally withheld the majority of their offensive firepower in the Week 1 rout of Middle Tennessee. Both offenses displayed a fairly vanilla approach in Week 1, possibly offering some value on the over in what is expected to be a closely contested matchup.

Jalen Milroe over 50.5 rushing yards (-112)

Jalen Milroe boasts exceptional speed and is likely to pose a consistent running threat throughout the game. This should give Steve Sarkisian and his defensive staff cause for concern, particularly since the Longhorns’ head coach emphasized during his press conference this week that his front seven struggled with maintaining gap integrity. Milroe will probably need to rely on his speed in this matchup, especially considering that Texas applied considerable pressure on Bryce Young last season and should effectively rush the quarterback against an Alabama offensive line that still harbors uncertainties. I firmly believe that Milroe’s blazing speed will lead to at least one run of over 20 yards in this game. With a likely 10 or more rushing attempts, I’m more than happy to take the over on 50.5 rushing yards.

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