NFL Thursday Night Football Week 6 Best Bets: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Picks and Parlays


Welcome to The Bet Club Week 6, where we kick off the NFL action with a highly anticipated Thursday Night Football matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs enter this game as strong 10.5-point favorites, but Thursday Night Football often brings unexpected twists.

NFL Best Bets for Week 6 Thursday Night Football

While you can explore side and total bets on our NFL picks page, we’ll focus on the best NFL player prop bets for TNF.

NFL Bet: Wilson, QB, DEN, Under 227.5 passing yards (-110)

Playing for a 10.5-point underdog team comes with the risk of garbage-time inflating a quarterback’s passing yards prop. However, the line at 227.5 passing yards feels a bit high. Wilson has fallen below this line in his last two games, struggling to generate a passing game against the Jets. Now, he faces the Chiefs defense, which has allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards per attempt. While Zach Wilson and Kirk Cousins surpassed this line against KC recently, Denver’s offensive woes could challenge Wilson’s ability to reach it. Expect a tough night for the veteran quarterback.

NFL Bet: Isiah Pacheco, RB, KC, Under 77.5 rushing yards (-114)

Another under to consider is Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards. Despite the potential for garbage-time carries if the Chiefs dominate, this high line is worth betting against. Pacheco has exceeded this mark only once this season, and with Patrick Mahomes expected to perform well, Pacheco’s carries might be limited. Although Denver’s run defense has struggled, the sportsbooks may have overreacted, setting this line too high. Expect Pacheco to finish under this number.

Best NFL Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Touchdown Scorer Bets: Courtland Sutton Bounces Back at +240 Odds

This divisional matchup suggests a lopsided affair, but Thursday Night Football games often bring surprises. The Denver Broncos, with a 1-4 start to the season, face the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs. In games where Denver trailed, wide receiver Courtland Sutton has had at least three catches and scored touchdowns. Given the expected game script with the Chiefs leading, Sutton is likely to see numerous targets. Bet on him to find the end zone at +240.

NFL Bet: Watson, WR, KC, (+500)

Justin Watson has played a more significant role in the Chiefs’ offense this season than expected. He has had notable yardage totals in the first five games, and with a relatively high snap count in recent games, Watson is likely to see targets and receptions. Denver’s tackling and pursuit issues could provide Watson with an opportunity to score a touchdown. Watson’s value in the receiving yards department also makes him an excellent candidate to find the end zone at +500.

NFL Same Game Parlay Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs +959 Odds

AFC West rivals, the Broncos and the Chiefs, kick off NFL Week 6 with a highly anticipated battle in Missouri. The Chiefs, having won their last 15 games against Denver, face a struggling Broncos team. While injuries to key players add uncertainty to player usage, a Same Game Parlay featuring two Chiefs receivers could be profitable at +959 odds.

NFL Bet: Watson to score a touchdown (+500)

Justin Watson’s involvement in the Chiefs’ offense this season suggests he could find the end zone, especially with the Broncos’ struggles in recent games. A potential garbage-time scenario with a large Chiefs lead could increase the prospects of second-tier receivers scoring. Watson’s excellent value at +500 odds adds to the appeal.

NFL Bet: Kadarius Toney over 28.5 receiving yards (-110)

Kadarius Toney’s recent performance suggests he has regained trust within the Chiefs’ offense. Facing the NFL’s 29th-ranked pass defense, Toney has a favorable opportunity to exceed this modest yardage total.

Stat of the Day:

Patrick Mahomes remains undefeated against the Broncos in his career.

Check out this week’s The Bet Club NFL Power Rankings to see where the Chiefs and Broncos stand.

Please also note that odds and availability may change, and it’s important to gamble responsibly and only with a licensed site in a reputable territory. Note: All bets should be made responsibly. The opinions and predictions provided are based on available data and are intended to enhance your understanding, fun and enjoyment of sports. The decision to place bets or refrain from betting is solely the responsibility of the bettor. If you experience issues with gambling, please seek immediate assistance.

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