Top 5 NFL Betting Trends, Stats, and Teaser Strategies for Week 4


When it comes to making NFL picks, historical trends and statistics can provide valuable insights. As Week 4 approaches, we’ve compiled the top 5 trends to consider for Sunday’s games. Additionally, we’ll explore teaser strategies to enhance your betting experience.

1. NFL Bet: The UNDER is 5-1 Between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints This Season

Week 4 features a matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints, and it’s the only game with a total below 40 points. In their six combined games this season, these NFC South rivals have seen the under hit five times. The lone exception was when the Buccaneers faced the Bears in Week 2, resulting in 44 total points (just over the 41-point total). With the Saints likely without quarterback Derek Carr due to injury, and Jameis Winston stepping in, under bettors have reason to be optimistic, even with the low total.

2. NFL Bet: The Denver Broncos Are 0-6 ATS in Their Last 6 Games

Denver’s Week 3 loss to the Miami Dolphins was historic, with a final score of 70-20. This defeat marked the Broncos’ third consecutive failure to cover the spread this season. Extending back to the end of the 2022 season, they have not covered in six consecutive games. In Week 4, the Broncos face the Chicago Bears, both teams sitting at 0-3 and struggling. This matchup may not attract widespread attention, but it’s an opportunity for Denver to break their ATS losing streak.

3. NFL Bet: The Cincinnati Bengals Are 4-0-1 ATS in Their Last 5 Games as a Favorite

Despite quarterback Joe Burrow’s lingering calf injury, the Cincinnati Bengals have managed to perform well as favorites in recent games. Their quick-passing strategy has compensated for Burrow’s limitations. In Week 4, the Bengals are favored by 2.5 points against the Tennessee Titans. With Burrow’s injury impacting their usual deep passing game, it remains to be seen if the Bengals can maintain their strong performance as favorites.

4. NFL Bet: The Buffalo Bills Are 7-0 in Their Last 7 Home Games Against the Miami Dolphins

The highly anticipated Week 4 matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins is crucial in the AFC East race. Buffalo’s dominance over Miami at home is evident, with the Bills winning their last seven consecutive home games against the Dolphins. While Miami is riding high after a 50-point win, facing Buffalo’s formidable defense presents a different challenge. The historical trend favors the Bills at home, but this game could test that trend.

5. NFL Bet: The Baltimore Ravens Are 0-13 in Their Last 13 Games Against Teams with a Winning Record

Surprisingly, the Baltimore Ravens have lost 13 straight games against teams with a winning record. In Week 4, they face the Cleveland Browns, who are 2-1 this season. The Ravens, also 2-1, are missing J.K. Dobbins in their offense. While Lamar Jackson has performed admirably, the Browns, with two double-digit wins this season, could pose a significant challenge. This matchup may determine if the Ravens can break their losing streak against winning teams.

NFL Teaser Strategies

Teasers are a popular NFL betting option, allowing you to adjust the spread or total in your favor while combining two teams. To maximize your teaser strategy, consider key numbers 3, 6, and 7, which are common winning margins in NFL games. Ideally, tease spreads below 3 or above 7 to maximize your chances of winning. For instance, you can tease a heavy favorite down from -8.5 to -2.5 or tease an underdog up from +1.5 to +7.5. Teasing game totals is also an option, but spreads are often favored due to the unpredictability of scores.

NFL Week 4 Teaser Options

Each week, we provide our top teaser leg candidates for NFL games. In Week 4, consider these teaser options:

  • Eagles -2.5 (from -8.5)
  • Dolphins +9 (from +3)
  • Chiefs -2.5 (from -8.5)
  • Patriots +12.5 (from +6.5)
  • Ravens +7.5 (from +1.5)

Three of these five teaser candidates are underdogs, offering value by teasing their spreads above key numbers. The Eagles and Chiefs, both 3-0, are favored in their matchups and can be teased to below a field goal. The Dolphins, undefeated at 3-0, face a formidable opponent in the Bills but have demonstrated offensive prowess. Teasing their spread above a touchdown offers an appealing option. The Patriots and Ravens are underdogs that can be teased to advantageous numbers, potentially increasing their chances of covering.

NFL Week 4 Teaser Best Bet

For Week 4, we’re taking a different approach with a 3-leg teaser at +140 odds:

  • Eagles -2
  • Dolphins +9
  • Chiefs -3.5

By teasing the Eagles and Chiefs below a field goal, we capitalize on their strong performances and favorable matchups. The Dolphins, facing the Bills, can be teased to stay within one score, considering their explosive offense. This 3-leg teaser provides attractive odds and offers a well-rounded mix of favorites and underdogs for a potentially profitable outcome.


This is just my opinion. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling is risky and should only be done with money you can afford to lose.

Please note that odds and availability may change, and it’s important to gamble responsibly. Note: All bets should be made responsibly. The opinions and predictions provided are based on available data and are intended to enhance your understanding and enjoyment of sports betting. The decision to place bets or refrain from betting is solely the responsibility of the bettor. If you experience issues with gambling, please seek assistance.

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